大气科学学报
大氣科學學報
대기과학학보
JOURNAL OF NANJING INSTITUTE OF METEOROLOGY
2012年
4期
477-486
,共10页
刘娜%余晔%陈晋北%何建军%赵素平
劉娜%餘曄%陳晉北%何建軍%趙素平
류나%여엽%진진북%하건군%조소평
HYSPLIT轨迹模式%PM10%后向轨迹%传输路径%潜在源区
HYSPLIT軌跡模式%PM10%後嚮軌跡%傳輸路徑%潛在源區
HYSPLIT궤적모식%PM10%후향궤적%전수로경%잠재원구
HYSPLIT model%PMlo%back-trajectories%transportation pathways%potential sources
将2001-2008年分为沙尘天气相对多年和相对少年,计算兰州市春季逐日4个时次的4d气团后向轨迹。通过聚类分析得到春季到达兰州市区的主要气团轨迹组,结合可吸入颗粒物PM10日均质量浓度资料,通过计算潜在源贡献因子PSCF(potential source contribution function)和浓度权重轨迹CWT(concentration-weighted trajectory),得到影响兰州市春季PMlo质量浓度的潜在源区以及不同源区对兰州市春季PM10质量浓度贡献的差异。结果表明,在沙尘天气相对多年,西路径和西北路径发生比例最高,分别占总轨迹的33%和19.4%,其中有50%以上为污染轨迹,是造成兰州市春季高质量浓度PM10污染的主要输送路径。沙尘天气相对少年的主要输送路径是西路径,其次是北路径,分别占23.6%和18%。影响兰州市春季大气PM10质量浓度的潜在源区分布在新疆塔里木盆地、吐鲁番盆地、青海柴达木盆地、甘肃河西走廊、内蒙古中部和西部的沙漠戈壁地区。
將2001-2008年分為沙塵天氣相對多年和相對少年,計算蘭州市春季逐日4箇時次的4d氣糰後嚮軌跡。通過聚類分析得到春季到達蘭州市區的主要氣糰軌跡組,結閤可吸入顆粒物PM10日均質量濃度資料,通過計算潛在源貢獻因子PSCF(potential source contribution function)和濃度權重軌跡CWT(concentration-weighted trajectory),得到影響蘭州市春季PMlo質量濃度的潛在源區以及不同源區對蘭州市春季PM10質量濃度貢獻的差異。結果錶明,在沙塵天氣相對多年,西路徑和西北路徑髮生比例最高,分彆佔總軌跡的33%和19.4%,其中有50%以上為汙染軌跡,是造成蘭州市春季高質量濃度PM10汙染的主要輸送路徑。沙塵天氣相對少年的主要輸送路徑是西路徑,其次是北路徑,分彆佔23.6%和18%。影響蘭州市春季大氣PM10質量濃度的潛在源區分佈在新疆塔裏木盆地、吐魯番盆地、青海柴達木盆地、甘肅河西走廊、內矇古中部和西部的沙漠戈壁地區。
장2001-2008년분위사진천기상대다년화상대소년,계산란주시춘계축일4개시차적4d기단후향궤적。통과취류분석득도춘계도체란주시구적주요기단궤적조,결합가흡입과립물PM10일균질량농도자료,통과계산잠재원공헌인자PSCF(potential source contribution function)화농도권중궤적CWT(concentration-weighted trajectory),득도영향란주시춘계PMlo질량농도적잠재원구이급불동원구대란주시춘계PM10질량농도공헌적차이。결과표명,재사진천기상대다년,서로경화서북로경발생비례최고,분별점총궤적적33%화19.4%,기중유50%이상위오염궤적,시조성란주시춘계고질량농도PM10오염적주요수송로경。사진천기상대소년적주요수송로경시서로경,기차시북로경,분별점23.6%화18%。영향란주시춘계대기PM10질량농도적잠재원구분포재신강탑리목분지、토로번분지、청해시체목분지、감숙하서주랑、내몽고중부화서부적사막과벽지구。
Three-dimensional 4-day backward trajectories arriving in Lanzhou at 500m high were calcu- lated every 6 h by using HYSPLIT-4 trajectory model in spring of 2001 to 2008. The 8 years were di-vided into two categories:high dust year (2001,2002,2004 and 2006) and low dust year (2003,2005, 2007 and 2008 ). Cluster analysis, potential source contribution function (PSCF) model, and concentra- tion-weighted trajectory (CWT) method were used to evaluate the transportation pathways and poten-tial source regions of Lanzhou PM10 pollution in spring. Results indicate that the western and northwest-ern pathways, respectively accounting for 33% and 19.4% of all trajectories, were major pathways leading to high springtime PM10 loadings in Lanzhou in 2001,2002,2004 and 2006. However, the major pathways were the western and the northern pathways in 2003,2005,2007 and 2008, accounting for 23.6% and 18% ,respectively. There were six potential source regions that had effect on PM10concen-tration in Lanzhou, including Tarim Basin and Turpan Basin in Xinjiang, Qaidam Basin in Qinghai, Hexi Corridor in Gansu Province, the desert and gobi area in central and western Inner Mongolia.