战略决策研究
戰略決策研究
전략결책연구
Journal of Strategy and Decision-Making
2012年
4期
15-22
,共8页
全球失衡%经济治理%SWOT分析法
全毬失衡%經濟治理%SWOT分析法
전구실형%경제치리%SWOT분석법
global imbalance%economic governance%SWOT analysis
目前全球经济失衡问题日益严重,主要发达经济体陷入经济困境,财政政策空间缩小,常规经济政策失效。各种经济保护主义政策,如贸易保护、汇率干预、资本流动管制等在世界范围内蔓延。全球经济治理的关键是重组全球产业分工和贸易金融体系,但是由于中国长期存在巨额贸易顺差和外汇储备,因此解决中国的双顺差现象被发达国家视为全球经济治理的核心议题之一,而中国参与全球经济治理的能力亟需提升。本文尝试运用SWOT战略分析框架,对中国参与全球经济治理展开实证分析,分析中国的比较优势、劣势、机遇、威胁以及核心竞争力,进而为中国参与全球经济治理提供决策依据和理论支持,实现国家利益和战略意图。
目前全毬經濟失衡問題日益嚴重,主要髮達經濟體陷入經濟睏境,財政政策空間縮小,常規經濟政策失效。各種經濟保護主義政策,如貿易保護、彙率榦預、資本流動管製等在世界範圍內蔓延。全毬經濟治理的關鍵是重組全毬產業分工和貿易金融體繫,但是由于中國長期存在巨額貿易順差和外彙儲備,因此解決中國的雙順差現象被髮達國傢視為全毬經濟治理的覈心議題之一,而中國參與全毬經濟治理的能力亟需提升。本文嘗試運用SWOT戰略分析框架,對中國參與全毬經濟治理展開實證分析,分析中國的比較優勢、劣勢、機遇、威脅以及覈心競爭力,進而為中國參與全毬經濟治理提供決策依據和理論支持,實現國傢利益和戰略意圖。
목전전구경제실형문제일익엄중,주요발체경제체함입경제곤경,재정정책공간축소,상규경제정책실효。각충경제보호주의정책,여무역보호、회솔간예、자본류동관제등재세계범위내만연。전구경제치리적관건시중조전구산업분공화무역금융체계,단시유우중국장기존재거액무역순차화외회저비,인차해결중국적쌍순차현상피발체국가시위전구경제치리적핵심의제지일,이중국삼여전구경제치리적능력극수제승。본문상시운용SWOT전략분석광가,대중국삼여전구경제치리전개실증분석,분석중국적비교우세、열세、궤우、위협이급핵심경쟁력,진이위중국삼여전구경제치리제공결책의거화이론지지,실현국가이익화전략의도。
Current global economic imbalance becomes increasingly severe, with major developed economies struggling with financial difficulties, a narrowed fiscal space, and the invalidity of conventional economic policies. Various economic protectionist policies, such as trade protection, exchange rate intervention, and capital flows control, are spreading around the globe. The key of global economic governance lies in the restructuring of the global labor division as well as the trade and finance system. Yet a major aspect of global economic governance, viewed by developed countries, is to address China's trade surplus as the country has had a huge trade surplus and foreign exchange reserves, while in this process China shows an urgent need to enhance her ability to participate in global economic governance. This paper attempts to use the SWOT strategic analysis framework to expand the empirical study of China's participation in global economic governance, elucidating on her comparative advantages, weaknesses, opportunities and risks along with the core competitiveness, trying to provide the basis of decision-making and theoretical support for China's efforts in this regard.