CAJ | 학술논문

内蒙古牧区可持续发展受到经济、社会和资源环境等诸多因素的影响,建立一套科学可行的预警系统是确保内蒙古牧区可持续发展的前提。在阐释构建可持续发展预警系统重要意义的基础上,通过综合运用主成分分析法和指标独立性分析法,对影响内蒙古牧区可持续发展的指标进行筛选,确定其可持续发展预警指标体系,分析体系的特点与构成,运用层次分析法对预警指标体系赋权,建立预警评价模型。
내몽고목구가지속발전수도경제、사회화자원배경등제다인소적영향,건립일투과학가행적예경계통시학보내몽고목구가지속발전적전제。재천석구건가지속발전예경계통중요의의적기출상,통과종합운용주성분분석법화지표독립성분석법,대영향내몽고목구가지속발전적지표진행사선,학정기가지속발전예경지표체계,분석체계적특점여구성,운용층차분석법대예경지표체계부권,건립예경평개모형。
The sustainable development of pastoral areas in Inner Mongolia is affected by such factors as economy,society,resources and environment.It is important to establish a set of early warning system scientifically and practically to ensure the sustainable development of pastoral areas in Inner Mongolia.This paper illustrates the significance of the construction of early warning system concerning the sustainable development of pastoral areas in Inner Mongolia,screens the indicators on the sustainable development of these areas through the method of principal component analysis and index independence analysis,so as to determine the early warning indicator system on sustainable development of the pastoral areas in Inner Mongolia,analyzes the characteristics and the constitution of the indicator system for the sustainable development of Inner Mongolia,and weighs the early warning indicator system and constructs the early warning model by analytic hierarchy process.