CAJ | 학술논문

选取1960～2010年福建春播期平均气温资料、日照资料、NCAR/NCEP逐日高度场、风场及逐月海温资料,使用统计方法分析近51a来福建省北部和南部低温阴雨日数的时空分布及异常偏多成因。结果表明：福建省低温阴雨日数的空间分布与福建省的地形及纬度密切相关。近51a来福建低温阴雨日数呈弱减少趋势,福建北部和南部地区年际变化特征相似。未来一段时间福建北部地区低温阴雨日数偏多可能性较大,南部地区低温阴雨日数可能继续偏少。福建低温阴雨日数与乌拉尔山脊强弱、亚洲高纬地区经向环流强弱关系密切。亚洲高纬地区的环流经向度偏强,冷空气不断南下和较强的西南风配合,湿度条件较好,是造成福建低温阴雨日数明显偏多的直接原因。福建北部地区低温阴雨异常偏多年前冬北太平洋（55°N～60°N,155°W～180°W）区域海温明显偏暖;福建南部地区低温阴雨异常偏多年前冬太平洋中东部海域海温明显偏暖。
선취1960～2010년복건춘파기평균기온자료、일조자료、NCAR/NCEP축일고도장、풍장급축월해온자료,사용통계방법분석근51a래복건성북부화남부저온음우일수적시공분포급이상편다성인。결과표명：복건성저온음우일수적공간분포여복건성적지형급위도밀절상관。근51a래복건저온음우일수정약감소추세,복건북부화남부지구년제변화특정상사。미래일단시간복건북부지구저온음우일수편다가능성교대,남부지구저온음우일수가능계속편소。복건저온음우일수여오랍이산척강약、아주고위지구경향배류강약관계밀절。아주고위지구적배류경향도편강,랭공기불단남하화교강적서남풍배합,습도조건교호,시조성복건저온음우일수명현편다적직접원인。복건북부지구저온음우이상편다년전동북태평양（55°N～60°N,155°W～180°W）구역해온명현편난;복건남부지구저온음우이상편다년전동태평양중동부해역해온명현편난。
Basing the observational data of daily averaged temperatures,sunshine,and such NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data as monthly sea surface temperature（SST）,daily geo-potential height and wind,from1960-2010 in Fujian province,using statistics method,the spatial and temporal distribution and the anomalous abundant causes of cold and rainy weather during spring sowing period（NDCRWS） in Northern and Southern Fujian were analyzed.The results show that the spatial distribution of the NDCRWS is closely related to the terrain and latitude of Fujian.The NDCRWS has a weak decreasing tendency in the past 51 years.The interannual variation of NDCRWS in the Northern Fujian is similar to that in the Southern Fujian.The NDCRWS in Northern（Southern）Fujian still has an increase（decrease）trend in coming years.The anomalous abundant of NDCRWS are directly caused by the strong meridional circulation in high latitude area of Asia,active cold air,southwesterly wind and abundant humidity.The SST in the North（central and eastern）Pacific during the preceding winter is obviously higher than normal while there are the anomalous abundant NDCRWS in the Northern（Southern）Fujian.