CAJ | 학술논문

从农业产业链的视角，运用向量误差修正模型实证分析了农资价格指数、粮食价格指数和农村居民消费价格指数之间的传导机制。得出以下结论：从长期来看，农资价格指数、粮食价格指数和农村居民消费价格指数之间存在协整关系；从短期来看，农业产业链的价格传导以需求推动为主、以成本推动为辅。
종농업산업련적시각，운용향량오차수정모형실증분석료농자개격지수、양식개격지수화농촌거민소비개격지수지간적전도궤제。득출이하결론：종장기래간，농자개격지수、양식개격지수화농촌거민소비개격지수지간존재협정관계；종단기래간，농업산업련적개격전도이수구추동위주、이성본추동위보。
This paper empirically analyzes the transmission mechanism between agricultural production price,grain price and rural CPI by the veetor error correction model from the perspective of agriculture chain. The main conclusions are as follows;in the long term, there exist co-inte- gration relationships among them ; in the short term, there is the interaction effect in price transmission chain, which is driven by demand mainly, supplemented by cost-push.