CAJ | 학술논문

采用协整分析方法、建立误差修正模型对四川城镇化与农民各种收入之间的关系进行实证分析，结果表明四川城镇化与农民各种收入之间存在长期均衡关系，城镇化对农村居民人均总收入、农村居民家庭人均现金收入和农村居民家庭经营收入在长期有显著影响，而对农村居民人均纯收入和工资性收入的影响不显著，但四川城镇化对农民各种收入的短期影响均不显著，说明目前四川农村与城镇化发展并不协调。因此，城镇化发展对四川农民增收具有重要意义，建议未来城镇化发展中应更多地关注农民利益，加快农村劳动力转移和农民市民化步伐，以共享增长，促进城乡和谐发展。
채용협정분석방법、건립오차수정모형대사천성진화여농민각충수입지간적관계진행실증분석，결과표명사천성진화여농민각충수입지간존재장기균형관계，성진화대농촌거민인균총수입、농촌거민가정인균현금수입화농촌거민가정경영수입재장기유현저영향，이대농촌거민인균순수입화공자성수입적영향불현저，단사천성진화대농민각충수입적단기영향균불현저，설명목전사천농촌여성진화발전병불협조。인차，성진화발전대사천농민증수구유중요의의，건의미래성진화발전중응경다지관주농민이익，가쾌농촌노동력전이화농민시민화보벌，이공향증장，촉진성향화해발전。
Applied cointegration analysis method and establised Error Correction Model to analyse the relationship between urbanization and farmers＇ incomes in Sichuan. The results showed that, there exist a long - term equilibrium between urbanization and farmers＇ incomes in Sichuan, the influence of urbanization development on total income, cash income and family income per capita of farmers was significant, but the influence of urbanization on net income and wage income was not significant in the long term. And in the short term the influence of urbanization development on farmers＇ incomes was not obvious, it shows that rural residents＇ income and development of u banization lack of coordination at present. Therefore, it is still important for urbanization to improve farmers＇ incomes in Sichuan in the future. But the development of urbanization in the future should pay more attention to interests of rural residents, speed up the transfer of rural labor and the pace of citizenization of farmers and promote harmonious development between city and countryside by inclusive growth.