CAJ | 학술논문

岩溶塌陷作为世界上岩溶地区最为普遍的地质灾害和环境地质问题之一，对人类社会发展、工程建设等方面产生了严重的危害。二十世纪七十年代以来，国内外学者对岩溶塌陷的发育规律、分布特征、致塌原因、成因机理、勘测技术、防治措施、监测预报和数值模拟等方面做了大量的工作，取得了丰富的研究成果，由于岩溶塌陷发生和发展在地表以下而不易察觉和探测，其具有突发性、隐蔽性、多因素性、不确定性和模糊性等特点，目前统一的、系统的、权威的岩溶塌陷的成因机理及定量预测等理论和认识仍在逐步完善中。本文根据岩溶塌陷机理研究现状及发展趋势，从复杂性科学角度探讨了岩溶塌陷机理定量研究中的基本科学问题，对岩溶塌陷机理定量研究进行了初步思考，在参考借鉴多个相关领域技术方法的基础上，梳理了定量研究的内容，探讨了定量研究的方法、技术思路，以期在一定程度上丰富岩溶塌陷机理定量研究理论体系，推动岩溶塌陷机理定量研究进程。
암용탑함작위세계상암용지구최위보편적지질재해화배경지질문제지일，대인류사회발전、공정건설등방면산생료엄중적위해。이십세기칠십년대이래，국내외학자대암용탑함적발육규률、분포특정、치탑원인、성인궤리、감측기술、방치조시、감측예보화수치모의등방면주료대량적공작，취득료봉부적연구성과，유우암용탑함발생화발전재지표이하이불역찰각화탐측，기구유돌발성、은폐성、다인소성、불학정성화모호성등특점，목전통일적、계통적、권위적암용탑함적성인궤리급정량예측등이론화인식잉재축보완선중。본문근거암용탑함궤리연구현상급발전추세，종복잡성과학각도탐토료암용탑함궤리정량연구중적기본과학문제，대암용탑함궤리정량연구진행료초보사고，재삼고차감다개상관영역기술방법적기출상，소리료정량연구적내용，탐토료정량연구적방법、기술사로，이기재일정정도상봉부암용탑함궤리정량연구이론체계，추동암용탑함궤리정량연구진정。
The karst collapse,as most widespread geological disasters and environmental geological problems in karst areas in the world,has had a serious hazard for the development of human society and the construc-tion of engineering projects as well as other aspects.Since the 1 970s,both domestic and foreign scholars have done a lot of works on fields as development regularity,distribution characteristics,collapse cause,ge-netic mechanism,survey techniques,control measures,monitoring and forecasting as well as simulation of karst collapse,which have achieved abundant research results.Being buried deep below the surface and diffi-cult to be detected and probed,karst collapse is of the following features as sudden,concealment,multiple influence factors,uncertainty and ambiguity,so the unified,systematic and authoritative theory and under-standing on the mechanism and quantitative prediction of karst collapse are still in gradually perfecting process.Based on the mechanism of karst collapse status and development trend,from the perspective of complexity science,the basic scientific questions of the mechanism and quantitative prediction as well as quantitative study methods are discussed in this paper.On the basis of referencing multi-technical methods from several related subjects,in order to enrich karst collapse mechanism quantitative research,this paper has methodized the contents of quantitative research,explored the quantitative research methods,analyzed quantitative research techniques and put forth research approaches.