中国海上油气
中國海上油氣
중국해상유기
2014年
1期
54-57
,共4页
累积增长预测模型%无因次典型曲线%拟合求解%油田产量%可采储量
纍積增長預測模型%無因次典型麯線%擬閤求解%油田產量%可採儲量
루적증장예측모형%무인차전형곡선%의합구해%유전산량%가채저량
cumulative growth forecast model%dimensionless type curve%match method%oilfieldproduction%recoverable reserves
预测模型按产量和累积产量的变化特征可分为单峰周期模型和累积增长模型，前者包括翁氏模型、威布尔模型、瑞利模型、陈-郝模型和广义模型，后者包括HCZ模型和Hubbert模型。对于累积增长模型，提出了无因次典型曲线和拟合求解方法。通过无因次处理的油田实际开发数据与典型曲线的最佳拟合，可得到模型常数的数值，并用于对油田产量和可采储量的预测。实例应用表明，本文提供的累积增长预测模型典型曲线和拟合求解的方法是实用有效的。
預測模型按產量和纍積產量的變化特徵可分為單峰週期模型和纍積增長模型，前者包括翁氏模型、威佈爾模型、瑞利模型、陳-郝模型和廣義模型，後者包括HCZ模型和Hubbert模型。對于纍積增長模型，提齣瞭無因次典型麯線和擬閤求解方法。通過無因次處理的油田實際開髮數據與典型麯線的最佳擬閤，可得到模型常數的數值，併用于對油田產量和可採儲量的預測。實例應用錶明，本文提供的纍積增長預測模型典型麯線和擬閤求解的方法是實用有效的。
예측모형안산량화루적산량적변화특정가분위단봉주기모형화루적증장모형，전자포괄옹씨모형、위포이모형、서리모형、진-학모형화엄의모형，후자포괄HCZ모형화Hubbert모형。대우루적증장모형，제출료무인차전형곡선화의합구해방법。통과무인차처리적유전실제개발수거여전형곡선적최가의합，가득도모형상수적수치，병용우대유전산량화가채저량적예측。실례응용표명，본문제공적루적증장예측모형전형곡선화의합구해적방법시실용유효적。
The forecast models can be divided intosingle-peak cycle models and cumulative growthmodels by the changes of oil production and cumu-lative oil production,with the former includingWeng model,Weibull model,Reyleigh model,Chen-Hao model and the generalized model,andthe latter including HCZ model and Hubbert mod-el.For the cumulative growth forecast models,a di-mensionless type curve and match method were de-veloped.By best matching between any dimension-less oilfield development data and the type curve,themodel constant can be obtained and used to forecastproduction and recoverable reserves of oilfields.Thepractical applications have shown that this type curveand match method are feasible and effective.
