武汉理工大学学报(信息与管理工程版)
武漢理工大學學報(信息與管理工程版)
무한리공대학학보(신식여관리공정판)
JOURNAL OF WUHAN AUTOMOTIVE POLYTECHNIC UNIVERSITY
2014年
1期
86-90
,共5页
程鸿群%邱辉凌%张洛熙%彭朝晖
程鴻群%邱輝凌%張洛熙%彭朝暉
정홍군%구휘릉%장락희%팽조휘
BT模式%公共基础设施项目%风险评价指标体系%赋值修正
BT模式%公共基礎設施項目%風險評價指標體繫%賦值脩正
BT모식%공공기출설시항목%풍험평개지표체계%부치수정
BT model%public infrastructure projects%risk evaluating index system%modifying assignments
针对BT 模式下城市公共基础设施项目具有投资规模大、建设周期长、参与主体多、法律关系复杂、工程管理难度大和风险复杂多变的特点,从实证研究出发,进行项目参与主体和全生命周期的二维坐标的风险识别,构建了BT投资模式下的城市公共基础设施项目风险评价模型,建立了其风险评价指标体系,确定了指标权重,并利用修正的拟合优度进行指标的赋值修正,消除冗余信息,降低了风险决策偏差,通过实例证明该风险评价指标体系与评价方法的有效性和实用性。
針對BT 模式下城市公共基礎設施項目具有投資規模大、建設週期長、參與主體多、法律關繫複雜、工程管理難度大和風險複雜多變的特點,從實證研究齣髮,進行項目參與主體和全生命週期的二維坐標的風險識彆,構建瞭BT投資模式下的城市公共基礎設施項目風險評價模型,建立瞭其風險評價指標體繫,確定瞭指標權重,併利用脩正的擬閤優度進行指標的賦值脩正,消除冗餘信息,降低瞭風險決策偏差,通過實例證明該風險評價指標體繫與評價方法的有效性和實用性。
침대BT 모식하성시공공기출설시항목구유투자규모대、건설주기장、삼여주체다、법률관계복잡、공정관리난도대화풍험복잡다변적특점,종실증연구출발,진행항목삼여주체화전생명주기적이유좌표적풍험식별,구건료BT투자모식하적성시공공기출설시항목풍험평개모형,건립료기풍험평개지표체계,학정료지표권중,병이용수정적의합우도진행지표적부치수정,소제용여신식,강저료풍험결책편차,통과실예증명해풍험평개지표체계여평개방법적유효성화실용성。
BT models of urban public infrastructure projects are characterized by large -scale investment , long construction period, lots of participating subjects , complex legal relations , lots of management difficulties and complex risks .Based on the empirical research , this paper identified the risks from two -dimensional coordinates including participants and the whole life cy-cle and constructed the risk evaluating model of public infrastructure projects of BT investment model , and then the risk evalua-ting index system was established under the risk evaluating model .Then the index weights were determined and the assignments of the index were modified by using modified goodness of fit in order to eliminate redundant information and reduce the risk deci -sion bias.Finally, an example was demonstrated to prove that the index system and evaluating method are both effective and practical.