CAJ | 학술논문

产品技术成熟度和技术系统进化潜能的预测对企业进行投资、企业制定产品战略具有重要的指导作用。本研究是以TRIZ理论在智能手机技术系统的成熟度和技术系统进化潜能评估中的运用为例，为企业进行不同产品的技术发展预测提供了简单易行的TRIZ方法。TRIZ理论方法是一种科学的技术预测方法，克服了传统预测方法的主观性、局限性等缺陷。
산품기술성숙도화기술계통진화잠능적예측대기업진행투자、기업제정산품전략구유중요적지도작용。본연구시이TRIZ이론재지능수궤기술계통적성숙도화기술계통진화잠능평고중적운용위례，위기업진행불동산품적기술발전예측제공료간단역행적TRIZ방법。TRIZ이론방법시일충과학적기술예측방법，극복료전통예측방법적주관성、국한성등결함。
Technology maturity of product and evolutionary potential technology system plays an important role in guiding the investment of enter prise and formulation of product strategy. The purpose of this paper is to introduce an easy and practicable TRIZ method for the technology devel opment forecast of different product through taking the smart phone technology system as an example. TRIZ theory is a scientific forecasting meth od, which lessons the subjectivity and limitation of traditional forecasting methods.