自回归模型在密云水库枯水季来水预报中的应用
자회귀모형재밀운수고고수계래수예보중적응용
Application of the autoregressive model on the dry season inflow forecast for the Miyun reservoir
  • 万方数据
    北京水务 북경수무
    BEIJING WATER
    2012年 5期 35-36 ,共2页

    钟永华%王彦强

    종영화%왕언강

    枯季来水预报%自回归模型%密云水库 枯季來水預報%自迴歸模型%密雲水庫
    고계래수예보%자회귀모형%밀운수고
    dry season inflow forecasting autoregressive model Miyun reservoir
    利用自回归模型（Autoregressivemodel）并选取1984--2010年枯季来水作为分析样本．对密云水库枯水季来水进行预报，预报精度符合水文预报规范。
    이용자회귀모형（Autoregressivemodel）병선취1984--2010년고계래수작위분석양본．대밀운수고고수계래수진행예보，예보정도부합수문예보규범。
    An data from 1984 autoregressive model is used to forecast dry season to 2010 is chosen as the forecasting samples. The specifications of the hydrologic forecasting inflow of the Miyun reservoir. The precision meets the requirements of
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