CAJ | 학술논문

交通的便利与否是影响旅游消费者旅游目的地选择的重要因素。该文以统计数据为基础，建立拟合函数预测成绵乐客运专线运行后节约的时间价值、增加的旅游人数和旅游收入。结果表明：成绵乐客运专线开通后从绵阳到乐山至少可以节约1．5h，运输时间节约价值多达十几亿元甚至几十亿元；2013年乐山市旅游人数将增加到13197．5万人次；旅游收入将增加到1421．34亿元，比现在的旅游收入增长近10倍，乐山市的旅游经济发展将进入一个新的时代。本研究有助于全面认识成绵乐客运专线给乐山市旅游业带来的影响，为乐山市旅游业规划和管理提供参考。
교통적편리여부시영향여유소비자여유목적지선택적중요인소。해문이통계수거위기출，건립의합함수예측성면악객운전선운행후절약적시간개치、증가적여유인수화여유수입。결과표명：성면악객운전선개통후종면양도악산지소가이절약1．5h，운수시간절약개치다체십궤억원심지궤십억원；2013년악산시여유인수장증가도13197．5만인차；여유수입장증가도1421．34억원，비현재적여유수입증장근10배，악산시적여유경제발전장진입일개신적시대。본연구유조우전면인식성면악객운전선급악산시여유업대래적영향，위악산시여유업규화화관리제공삼고。
Convenient Traffic is an important factor that affects tourists'choices of their destinations. This is to set up a fitting function, on the basis of statistic data, that forecasts saved time, increased passengers and tourist income after the completion of Chengdu - Mianyang - Leshan(CML) passenger rail line. The results show that it is saving 1.5 hours from Mianyang to Leshan, value of transportation time saved up to as many as dozens of bil- lions yuan after it is put into use, the number of tourist will increase to 131,975,000 . the revenue 142. 134 bil- lion yuan, which is of nearlyl0 times of now, and tourism and economic development will enter a new era for Les- han City. This study will help readers have an overall understanding of effects of therai line on tourism of Leshan City, provide a reference for the planning and management of the tourism industry for this City.