CAJ | 학술논문

利用计量经济模型和通径分析法，该文对甘肃省工业行业的区际产业转移行业间溢出效应的影响因素进行分析。计量回归结果显示：人力资本、资本密集度对技术溢出具有显著的促进作用，技术差距对技术溢出具有显著的抑制作用，行业发展水平与技术溢出没有显著的相关关系。通径分析法与多元回归结论基本一致，但通径分析法比多元回归更加优越。分析结果表明，技术溢出效应的影响因素应该是承接地一系列因子指标的一个集合。
이용계량경제모형화통경분석법，해문대감숙성공업행업적구제산업전이행업간일출효응적영향인소진행분석。계량회귀결과현시：인력자본、자본밀집도대기술일출구유현저적촉진작용，기술차거대기술일출구유현저적억제작용，행업발전수평여기술일출몰유현저적상관관계。통경분석법여다원회귀결론기본일치，단통경분석법비다원회귀경가우월。분석결과표명，기술일출효응적영향인소응해시승접지일계렬인자지표적일개집합。
The paper analyzes factors which influence the inter -industry technical spillovers of inter -district transfer of industrial branch in Gansu Province with econometric model and path analysis .The re-gression results show that human capital and capital intensity have greatly positive influences on the tech -nical spillover;the technology gap depresses the technical spillover a lot;there is no significant correla-tion between the level of industry development and technical spillover .The conclusion drawn from the path analysis method is almost consistent with what drawn from the multiple regressions , while the path a-nalysis method has more advantages .It has put forward the idea that the influencing factors of the techni-cal spillover are collections of all factors of undertake .