CAJ | 학술논문

如何减缓能源消费的过快增长是应对能源安全和气候变化的重要课题。通过对投入产出分析原理和无残差的完全结构分解法（MRCI）量化分析发现，产出规模效应和生产结构效应对中国能源消费增长起到主导作用，是主要驱动因素，而中国能源强度效应能有效抑制中国能源消费的增长；人口规模效应和人均生活能耗效应对中国能源消费增长的影响相对较小，但也有一定的促进作用。因此，依靠技术创新、提高能源使用效率，控制人口增长、引导居民向低能耗方向发展有利于减少中国能源消费水平。
여하감완능원소비적과쾌증장시응대능원안전화기후변화적중요과제。통과대투입산출분석원리화무잔차적완전결구분해법（MRCI）양화분석발현，산출규모효응화생산결구효응대중국능원소비증장기도주도작용，시주요구동인소，이중국능원강도효응능유효억제중국능원소비적증장；인구규모효응화인균생활능모효응대중국능원소비증장적영향상대교소，단야유일정적촉진작용。인차，의고기술창신、제고능원사용효솔，공제인구증장、인도거민향저능모방향발전유리우감소중국능원소비수평。
How to slow down the excessive growth of energy consumption is an important issue to deal with energy security and climate change. The complete structure without residual on the input output analysis theory and the decomposition method (MRCI) quantitative analysis, Scale effect and structure effect on the production of Chinese energy consumption growth will play a leading role is the main driving factor, the effect Chinese energy intensity can effectively inhibit the growth of energy consumption China; The influence of population size effect and per capita energy consumption effect on Chinese energy consumption growth is relatively small, but also have a certain role in promoting. Therefore, rely on technological innovation, improve energy efficiency, control population growth, to guide residents to low power consumption direction to reduce the energy consumption level China.