CAJ | 학술논문

在Kaya公式的基础上对环渤海地区碳排放影响因素进行了分解，并对各省市碳排放状况进行了对比分析。结果发现，环渤海地区碳排放量大致呈现持续均匀的增长趋势。其碳排放主要受能源结构、碳排放系数、能源强度、产业结构、经济规模5个因素影响。各省市碳排放量均呈加速增长趋势，能源结构仍以煤炭为主，产业结构有待优化。结合研究结果，从加强低碳技术创新、优化能源消费结构、开发绿色能源、宣传低碳观念角度提出了相关碳减排建议。
재Kaya공식적기출상대배발해지구탄배방영향인소진행료분해，병대각성시탄배방상황진행료대비분석。결과발현，배발해지구탄배방량대치정현지속균균적증장추세。기탄배방주요수능원결구、탄배방계수、능원강도、산업결구、경제규모5개인소영향。각성시탄배방량균정가속증장추세，능원결구잉이매탄위주，산업결구유대우화。결합연구결과，종가강저탄기술창신、우화능원소비결구、개발록색능원、선전저탄관념각도제출료상관탄감배건의。
Based on the formula of Kaya, The affecting factors of carbon emission in Bohai area was decomposed. Then a comparison analysis was made on carbon emission among these provinces. Results show that carbon emission in Bohai sea region has the generally trend that continuously and uniformly growth. The regional carbon emission is mainly affected by the following five factors: energy structure, carbon emission coefficient, energy intensity, industrial structure, economic scale. All the provinces and cities show a trend of accelerated growth on carbon emissions, the regional energy structure is dominated by coal, and the industrial structure remains to be optimized. Finally, combined with the research results and the actual situation of regional, proposed carbon reduction policy suggestions: strengthening low carbon technology innovation, optimizing the energy consumption structure, developing green energy and so on.