中国环境管理干部学院学报
中國環境管理榦部學院學報
중국배경관리간부학원학보
JOURNAL OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT COLLEGE OF CHINA
2013年
6期
1-4
,共4页
环境事件%环境管理%Logistics回归%环境安全%策略
環境事件%環境管理%Logistics迴歸%環境安全%策略
배경사건%배경관리%Logistics회귀%배경안전%책략
environmental events%environment management%Logistics regression%environment safety%strategy
以近年来我国发生的有影响力的100个环境事件为研究对象，通过多元Logistics回归方法，利用环境污染生境、污染主体特征、污染物特征、对象敏感性、社会敏感性、治理难度和治理效果7类变量23类观测指标解析了影响环境事件发生的显著因素。以此为基础，分别给出了控制和预防大概率小损失、大概率大损失、小概率小损失和小概率大损失环境事件发生的政策建议。
以近年來我國髮生的有影響力的100箇環境事件為研究對象，通過多元Logistics迴歸方法，利用環境汙染生境、汙染主體特徵、汙染物特徵、對象敏感性、社會敏感性、治理難度和治理效果7類變量23類觀測指標解析瞭影響環境事件髮生的顯著因素。以此為基礎，分彆給齣瞭控製和預防大概率小損失、大概率大損失、小概率小損失和小概率大損失環境事件髮生的政策建議。
이근년래아국발생적유영향력적100개배경사건위연구대상，통과다원Logistics회귀방법，이용배경오염생경、오염주체특정、오염물특정、대상민감성、사회민감성、치리난도화치리효과7류변량23류관측지표해석료영향배경사건발생적현저인소。이차위기출，분별급출료공제화예방대개솔소손실、대개솔대손실、소개솔소손실화소개솔대손실배경사건발생적정책건의。
Selected one hundred environmental events which broke out recently and caused serious result, employed multi-variant Logistics regression, analyzed the significant factors which contributed to the occurrence of environmental events using seven kinds of variables ( which included biological environment of pollution, pollution subject feature, pollution substance feature, objective sensitivity, social sensitivity, governance difficulty and governance effect) and twenty-three indicators. Based on that, some suggestion are given to prevent the occurrence of different environmental events ( with high probability cum low damage, high probability cum great damage, low probability cum low damage, and low probability cum great damage) .
