CAJ | 학술논문

为了探讨我国棉花生产是否具有向西北扩张转移的可能性,在分析甘肃、陕西、山西3省棉花生产的气候及灌溉条件基础上,运用主成分分析方法对我国14个棉花生产省（区）棉花生产的技术经济条件进行了综合评价。结果表明：甘肃、陕西、山西分别属于最适宜、较适宜、一般的棉花生产区。得出结论：甘肃省可以发展成为我国西北地区继新疆之后的又一个棉花优势生产区;陕西省可以进一步稳定为我国棉花主产区。我国棉花主产区存在进一步向西北地区扩张转移的可能性。
위료탐토아국면화생산시부구유향서북확장전이적가능성,재분석감숙、협서、산서3성면화생산적기후급관개조건기출상,운용주성분분석방법대아국14개면화생산성（구）면화생산적기술경제조건진행료종합평개。결과표명：감숙、협서、산서분별속우최괄의、교괄의、일반적면화생산구。득출결론：감숙성가이발전성위아국서북지구계신강지후적우일개면화우세생산구;합서성가이진일보은정위아국면화주산구。아국면화주산구존재진일보향서북지구확장전이적가능성。
In order to probe into the possibility of China＇s cotton production expansion to the northwest regions,based on analyzing climate and irrigation condition of cotton production in Gansu,Shaanxi and Shanxi provinces,this paper uses the main ingredients analytical method to comprehensively evaluate the cotton production technological and economical conditions in 14 cotton production provinces.The result shows that Gansu province,Shaanxi province and Shanxi province belong to the best dominant,the better dominant and ordinary cotton production areas respectively.Hence,a conclusion is drawn that Gansu province can be consolidated to become another dominant cotton production district besides Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region,Shaanxi province can be stabilized to become the main cotton production area,and Shanxi province is not suitable to expand cotton production any longer.