CAJ | 학술논문

在分析、回顾高新技术产业与经济增长关系基础上，通过运用协整理论方法对1995年～2009年国内生产总值与高新技术产业工业总产值进行分析可知：国内生产总值与高新技术产业总产值之间存在协整关系，且两者之间的均衡关系对当年非均衡误差调整的修正能力较强；在滞后期为1时，两者存在双向的格兰杰因果关系，在滞后期大于等于2时，存在单项的格兰杰因果关系。这说明，高新技术产业对经济增长有较强的拉动作用。针对这一结论，今后应努力提高高新技术的创新能力，培植高新技术产业的技术创新体系；充分发挥政府的主导作用，加强产、学、研合作；大力引进人才，造就一支多层次、高水平、复合型的人才队伍，促进高新技术产业的快速发展。
재분석、회고고신기술산업여경제증장관계기출상，통과운용협정이론방법대1995년～2009년국내생산총치여고신기술산업공업총산치진행분석가지：국내생산총치여고신기술산업총산치지간존재협정관계，차량자지간적균형관계대당년비균형오차조정적수정능력교강；재체후기위1시，량자존재쌍향적격란걸인과관계，재체후기대우등우2시，존재단항적격란걸인과관계。저설명，고신기술산업대경제증장유교강적랍동작용。침대저일결론，금후응노력제고고신기술적창신능력，배식고신기술산업적기술창신체계；충분발휘정부적주도작용，가강산、학、연합작；대력인진인재，조취일지다층차、고수평、복합형적인재대오，촉진고신기술산업적쾌속발전。
According to the analysis and retrospect of the relationship between High-technology Industry and economic growth, this article uses co-integration theory to deal with GDP and total output value of High-technology Industry during 1995 and 2009 and get to this conclusion： co-integration relationship exists between GDP and total output value of High-technology Industry; the equilibrium relationship between them has strong ability in amending the inequality error adjustment in the same year;if the lag is 1 ,the two-way Granger causality exists between them, if the lag is as long as2 or longer than 2, the one-way Granger causality exists between them. The conclusion means that high-tech industry is effective in driving economic growth. In allusion to the conclusion, we should endeavor to enhance the innovation ability of high-tech industry, implant the technical innovation system of high-tech industry, fully display the leading role of the government, intensify the collaboration between production, education and research, make great effort to attract high-quality personnel, foster a contingent, multi-level, versa- tile strong team to accelerate the high-tech industry development speed.