现代农业科技
現代農業科技
현대농업과기
XIANDAIHUA NONGYE
2012年
4期
11-13
,共3页
方晓明%梁艳%刘峰%吕江山%周佳%程瀛
方曉明%樑豔%劉峰%呂江山%週佳%程瀛
방효명%량염%류봉%려강산%주가%정영
蒸发量%气象因素%相关系数%通径分析%多元线性回归%浙江平阳
蒸髮量%氣象因素%相關繫數%通徑分析%多元線性迴歸%浙江平暘
증발량%기상인소%상관계수%통경분석%다원선성회귀%절강평양
evaporation%meteorological factors%correlation coefficent%path analysis%multiple linear regression%Pingyang Zhejiang
选取浙江省平阳县气象观测站2010年全年气象观测资料,采用通径分析方法和多元线性回归理论,对平阳县气象站20 cm小型蒸发皿蒸发量及其相关气象影响因子进行分析。结果表明:日蒸发量与日均气温、日均风速和日照时数呈正相关,与日均相对湿度呈负相关。影响日蒸发量的因子中,日照时数无论其单独作用或与除日均风速外的其他气象因子的协同作用都较大;日均气温85%以上主要表现在直接作用上;日均相对湿度与日照时数的协同作用最大;日均风速影响小主要体现在与其他要素的协同作用上。根据影响蒸发量的主要因素,建立相应的多元回归模型,并检验有一定的可靠性。
選取浙江省平暘縣氣象觀測站2010年全年氣象觀測資料,採用通徑分析方法和多元線性迴歸理論,對平暘縣氣象站20 cm小型蒸髮皿蒸髮量及其相關氣象影響因子進行分析。結果錶明:日蒸髮量與日均氣溫、日均風速和日照時數呈正相關,與日均相對濕度呈負相關。影響日蒸髮量的因子中,日照時數無論其單獨作用或與除日均風速外的其他氣象因子的協同作用都較大;日均氣溫85%以上主要錶現在直接作用上;日均相對濕度與日照時數的協同作用最大;日均風速影響小主要體現在與其他要素的協同作用上。根據影響蒸髮量的主要因素,建立相應的多元迴歸模型,併檢驗有一定的可靠性。
선취절강성평양현기상관측참2010년전년기상관측자료,채용통경분석방법화다원선성회귀이론,대평양현기상참20 cm소형증발명증발량급기상관기상영향인자진행분석。결과표명:일증발량여일균기온、일균풍속화일조시수정정상관,여일균상대습도정부상관。영향일증발량적인자중,일조시수무론기단독작용혹여제일균풍속외적기타기상인자적협동작용도교대;일균기온85%이상주요표현재직접작용상;일균상대습도여일조시수적협동작용최대;일균풍속영향소주요체현재여기타요소적협동작용상。근거영향증발량적주요인소,건립상응적다원회귀모형,병검험유일정적가고성。
Based on meteorological data about 2010 in meteorological station of Pingyang County in Zhejiang Province,path analysis and multiple linear regression were applied to understand the changes in pan evaporation and relation with meteorological factors in the paper.The results showed that the factors of evaporation were positive correlation to average air temperature,wind velocity and sunshine durations.The average relative humidity and evaporation were negative correlation.Otherwise the influence of the sunshine durations on evaporation was larger whether its effect directly or synergistic effect with other factors in addition to wind velocity.The influence of the average air temperature was more than 85% in direct effect.The synergistic effect of relative humidity with others was largest.The influence of wind velocity was smaller mainly in synergistic effect with others.On the other hand,multivariate regression model was built on the basis of the main impacting factors about the evaporation,and the test results showed that the model was certain reliability.