CAJ | 학술논문

长春市尖山子一卡伦断层东段、南湖一桑家窝堡断层中段、伊通河断层北段均位于断层的交汇部位，并且这3个断层段直接位于长春市市区的下方，一旦发生地震将造成巨大的危害．通过经验关系估计了这3个相对危险段的震级上限，并通过统计概率性方法评价了这3个相对危险段的地震危险性．
장춘시첨산자일잡륜단층동단、남호일상가와보단층중단、이통하단층북단균위우단층적교회부위，병차저3개단층단직접위우장춘시시구적하방，일단발생지진장조성거대적위해．통과경험관계고계료저3개상대위험단적진급상한，병통과통계개솔성방법평개료저3개상대위험단적지진위험성．
Changchun east part of Jianzi mountain to Kalun fault, middle part of south - lake to Sangjiawo castle fault, north part of Yitong river fault are located in the cross part of faults, and these parts of faults are located directly beneath the city of Changchun, once the earthquake will cause great harm. Through the relationship of experience, we estimated the upper limit of earthquake magnitude for these danger parts, and evaluated the three segment of the seismic risk by statistical probability method.