CAJ | 학술논문

中国原油进口规模不断增大，原油进口效率变得日益重要。中国是原油生产大国，为提高原油进口效率提供了坚实基础。从近几年中国原油进口量、进口价格和国际油价波动的月际数据量化分析的结果看，中国原油进口效率总体上是比较低的。如果将由中国原油需求快速增长所产生的内在刚性压力考虑在内，中国原油进1：7效率表现得不是太低，但是中国原油进口效率没有随着原油进口历史延伸而得到改善。中国原油进口效率过低会对国内经济造成很大损失。为了提高原油进口效率，中国需要在提高国际油价走势预测能力、完善相应配套措施和交易机制等方面做出努力。
중국원유진구규모불단증대，원유진구효솔변득일익중요。중국시원유생산대국，위제고원유진구효솔제공료견실기출。종근궤년중국원유진구량、진구개격화국제유개파동적월제수거양화분석적결과간，중국원유진구효솔총체상시비교저적。여과장유중국원유수구쾌속증장소산생적내재강성압력고필재내，중국원유진1：7효솔표현득불시태저，단시중국원유진구효솔몰유수착원유진구역사연신이득도개선。중국원유진구효솔과저회대국내경제조성흔대손실。위료제고원유진구효솔，중국수요재제고국제유개주세예측능력、완선상응배투조시화교역궤제등방면주출노력。
Chinese crude oil import scale is increasing and imports of crude efficiency becomes more and more important. China itself is a crude oil production country which provides the solid foundation for improving the efficiency of oil imports. In recent years China＇s oil import efficiency according to the price of imports and international oil price on the interstate data of quantitative analysis is low; but if China＇s crude oil inherent rigid demand from the rapid growth of the internal is taken into account China＇s crude imports efficiency isn ＇t too low; China＇s import efficiency of crude oil has not been extended and improved with import development. China＇s crude low efficiency imports will bring the domestic economy much damage. In order to improve the efficiency of China＇s oil imports, we need to improve the ability to predict oil prices in the international trend, perfect supporting measures and trading mechanism.