体育研究与教育
體育研究與教育
체육연구여교육
Journal of Physical Education Institute of Shanxi Teachers University
2012年
4期
32-35,51
,共5页
竞争格局%阶段性变化%规律%成因
競爭格跼%階段性變化%規律%成因
경쟁격국%계단성변화%규률%성인
competition pattern%phasic variation%law%cause
运用文献资料、数理统计、归纳等方法，对我国近三届全运会各省市获取金牌项目的数量以及竞争格局进行了研究分析。结果表明：我国全运会竞争格局阶段性变化的规律呈现出马太效应、东道主效应、项目集群和梯度推移四种特点，表现为在一定历史条件下具有特色的发展轨迹及阶段格局。造成全运会竞争格局的阶段性变化的原因主要有：经济驱动、全运与奥运战略导向、优势项目主导、项目布局优化、项目多尖子少。通过对未来全运会竞争格局进行预测，认为：第一集团之间的竞争异常激烈、第二集团内部的竞争趋于均衡。
運用文獻資料、數理統計、歸納等方法，對我國近三屆全運會各省市穫取金牌項目的數量以及競爭格跼進行瞭研究分析。結果錶明：我國全運會競爭格跼階段性變化的規律呈現齣馬太效應、東道主效應、項目集群和梯度推移四種特點，錶現為在一定歷史條件下具有特色的髮展軌跡及階段格跼。造成全運會競爭格跼的階段性變化的原因主要有：經濟驅動、全運與奧運戰略導嚮、優勢項目主導、項目佈跼優化、項目多尖子少。通過對未來全運會競爭格跼進行預測，認為：第一集糰之間的競爭異常激烈、第二集糰內部的競爭趨于均衡。
운용문헌자료、수리통계、귀납등방법，대아국근삼계전운회각성시획취금패항목적수량이급경쟁격국진행료연구분석。결과표명：아국전운회경쟁격국계단성변화적규률정현출마태효응、동도주효응、항목집군화제도추이사충특점，표현위재일정역사조건하구유특색적발전궤적급계단격국。조성전운회경쟁격국적계단성변화적원인주요유：경제구동、전운여오운전략도향、우세항목주도、항목포국우화、항목다첨자소。통과대미래전운회경쟁격국진행예측，인위：제일집단지간적경쟁이상격렬、제이집단내부적경쟁추우균형。
Through literature research statistics, methodso finduction, taking the number of gold medal which provinces got at the latest terms of China National Games as the research objects, analyzed the completion pattern of events in China National Games. The results indicated that the law of phasic variation of the pattern of the competition presents such 4 features as Matthew Effects＂, ＂host effects＂ , ＂cluster event＂ and ＂ trens-gradient moving＂, shows featured developmet tracks and stage specific patterns under certain historical conditions. The origin of phasic variation of the pattern of the competition presents such as economic drive, Advantage Sports, predict that equalization in one group have been revealed during the development of competition pattern about the completion pattern of events in China National Games.
