CAJ | 학술논문

文章通过建立向量自回归（VAR）模型，对1985--2010年西安市的经济收入和旅游收入进行分析研究。研究发现，长期内西安市经济增长受旅游收入水平滞后和经济增长水平滞后等因素的影响，西安市旅游收入则受其自身收入滞后因素影响较大。此外，文章还引入修正误差项ECM建立VEC模型对西安市经济增长和本地区旅游收入的短期关系进行了实证检验。研究发现，短期内西安市旅游收入对本地区经济增长有单向推动作用，而经济增长对本地区旅游收入的作用则不显著。
문장통과건립향량자회귀（VAR）모형，대1985--2010년서안시적경제수입화여유수입진행분석연구。연구발현，장기내서안시경제증장수여유수입수평체후화경제증장수평체후등인소적영향，서안시여유수입칙수기자신수입체후인소영향교대。차외，문장환인입수정오차항ECM건립VEC모형대서안시경제증장화본지구여유수입적단기관계진행료실증검험。연구발현，단기내서안시여유수입대본지구경제증장유단향추동작용，이경제증장대본지구여유수입적작용칙불현저。
Based on the VAR model, this paper analyses Xi＇ an economic income and tourism income from 1985 to 2010. The finding shows that in long term Xi＇ an economic growth is affected by both economic growth and tourism income, while Xi＇an tourism income is affected by itself. In addition, this paper uses VEC model on the relationship between Xi＇ an economic growth and regional tourism income in short term. The author shows that in short term there is one-side effect between them, but the effect of tourism in- come from economic growth is not obvious.