CAJ | 학술논문

[目的]研究自然子系统和经济子系统之间的相关关系，以期为河北省新世纪10年生态系统研究提供参考依据。[方法]以河北省最近10年统计数据为具体研究对象，通过典型相关分析探讨了其生态系统中自然子系统和经济子系统之间的相关关系，分析了各变量之间的相关性。[结果]3组典型变量就能反映出两个子系统之间的典型相关关系，这主要包括：作物总产量和居民消费额之间的典型相关；农业作物生产和水产养殖业与科研开发经费之间的典型相关；森林面积和人均地区生产总值之间的典型相关。河北省经济、财政收入增长，农业生产稳步发展的同时，仍存在一些突出的问题，主要包括：居民消费额的变化与其物质性消费不成比例；社会经济发展对林木依赖性的增加，破坏了经济增长与环境保护的平衡。[结论]该研究结果为河北省新世纪10年生态系统研究提供了参考依据。
[목적]연구자연자계통화경제자계통지간적상관관계，이기위하북성신세기10년생태계통연구제공삼고의거。[방법]이하북성최근10년통계수거위구체연구대상，통과전형상관분석탐토료기생태계통중자연자계통화경제자계통지간적상관관계，분석료각변량지간적상관성。[결과]3조전형변량취능반영출량개자계통지간적전형상관관계，저주요포괄：작물총산량화거민소비액지간적전형상관；농업작물생산화수산양식업여과연개발경비지간적전형상관；삼림면적화인균지구생산총치지간적전형상관。하북성경제、재정수입증장，농업생산은보발전적동시，잉존재일사돌출적문제，주요포괄：거민소비액적변화여기물질성소비불성비례；사회경제발전대림목의뢰성적증가，파배료경제증장여배경보호적평형。[결론]해연구결과위하북성신세기10년생태계통연구제공료삼고의거。
[Objective] This study aimed to provide referential basis for ecosystem study of Hebei Province in the new decade of 21st century, by investigating the correlation between natural subsystem and economic subsystem. [Method] The correlation between natural subsystem and economic subsystem in ecosystem was discussed by means of the canonical correlation, and the correlation between variables was explored with statistical data. [Result] The canonical correlation between the two subsystems could be explained by three groups of typical variables, Le., the canonical correlation between crop production and consumption; the canonical correlation between agricultural crop production, aquaculture and scientific research development funds; and the canonical correlation between forest area and GDP per capita. With the growth of economy and revenue and the steady development of agricultural production, there are still some serious problems, including the change of residents consumption is out of proportion to its material consumption; the socio-economic development depends on consuming of forests more heavily, which destroy the balance between the economic growth and environmental protection. [Conclusion] The results provide referential basis for the ecosystem study of Hebei Province.