CAJ | 학술논문

在区域物流发展不平衡的背景下，基于现金增加值法（CVA）从物流供需角度构建区域物流供需系统均衡发展的评价指标体系。采用 DEA 模型和均衡发展模型，对2007-2011年我国31个省市八大区域的物流差异进行系统内和系统间的解析，并对供需系统的结构效度和规模效度进行比较。结果表明：我国八大区域的物流发展呈现出明显的区域不平衡性和空间梯度性，区域物流发展的均衡性与经济发展水平正相关；区域物流系统发展的均衡性主要受系统内和系统间要素的投入产出结构、发展规模等因素的影响，不同地区的供需结构和供需规模具有显著差异。
재구역물류발전불평형적배경하，기우현금증가치법（CVA）종물류공수각도구건구역물류공수계통균형발전적평개지표체계。채용 DEA 모형화균형발전모형，대2007-2011년아국31개성시팔대구역적물류차이진행계통내화계통간적해석，병대공수계통적결구효도화규모효도진행비교。결과표명：아국팔대구역적물류발전정현출명현적구역불평형성화공간제도성，구역물류발전적균형성여경제발전수평정상관；구역물류계통발전적균형성주요수계통내화계통간요소적투입산출결구、발전규모등인소적영향，불동지구적공수결구화공수규모구유현저차이。
Against the background of unbalanced development of regional logistics, we adopted the CVA methods and constructed an evaluation index system from the angle of logistic supply and demand for balanced development of regional logis-tic systems.With the DEA model and balanced development model, we analyzed the differences within and among logistic sys-tems of 8 large regions across 31 provinces in China during 2007 -2011, and compared the construct validity and scale validity of their supply-demand systems.The results show that the logistic development has obvious regional imbalance and presents a gradient in their development level in the 8 logistic regions.It is also found that the balanced development of regional logistic systems is positively related to the economic level of the regions, and is mainly influenced by factors like production input-out-put structure and scale of the regional logistic systems; the structure and scale of logistic supply and demand have significant distinctions in the 8 different regions.