CAJ | 학술논문

分析喀什市1981—2010年的气温、降水量、日照时数等气象资料,得到近三十年来的气候变化趋势,主要表现为年平均气温均呈上升趋势（0.71℃/10a）;四季气温变化差异不明显,各季节均呈上升趋势。气候变暖贡献最大的是秋季,其次是春季;年平均降水量总体上呈上升趋势（8.115mm/10a）,20世纪80年代初到90年代末降水量出现了上升趋势,但比较平稳。自21世纪以来,年降水量的波动幅度较大,而且波动增长趋势显著,相对变化率较大;日照时数也呈上升趋势,尤其是1995年以后增长趋势较为明显。该区气候变化与二氧化碳的增加,人类活动的影响,日照时间增长有密切关系。
분석객십시1981—2010년적기온、강수량、일조시수등기상자료,득도근삼십년래적기후변화추세,주요표현위년평균기온균정상승추세（0.71℃/10a）;사계기온변화차이불명현,각계절균정상승추세。기후변난공헌최대적시추계,기차시춘계;년평균강수량총체상정상승추세（8.115mm/10a）,20세기80년대초도90년대말강수량출현료상승추세,단비교평은。자21세기이래,년강수량적파동폭도교대,이차파동증장추세현저,상대변화솔교대;일조시수야정상승추세,우기시1995년이후증장추세교위명현。해구기후변화여이양화탄적증가,인류활동적영향,일조시간증장유밀절관계。
Analysis of Kashi 1981-2010 year temperature,precipitation,sunshine hours and other meteorological data,Has nearly 30 years of climate change trend,Mainly for the annual mean temperatures are on the rise（0.71℃/10a）.Four season temperature difference,Seasons were rising trend.For climate warming contributed most of the autumn,Followed by the spring.The average annual precipitation of the overall upward trend（8.115mm/10a）.precipitation have a rising trend of Nineteen eighties to the late 90＇s early,But relatively stable.Since twenty-first Century,the annual precipitation fluctuations of the larger,and the fluctuation trend growth significantly,relative variability.Sunshine hours are also on the rise,especially after 1995 year growth trend more obvious.In the area of climate change by the increase of closely related to carbon dioxide,the impact of human activities,the sunshine time is growth.