泉州师范学院学报
泉州師範學院學報
천주사범학원학보
JOURNAL OF QUANZHOU NORMAL COLLGEG
2012年
2期
52-57
,共6页
佘赛芬%骆培聪%张莹莹%叶爱青%王娟
佘賽芬%駱培聰%張瑩瑩%葉愛青%王娟
사새분%락배총%장형형%협애청%왕연
气候舒适度%客流量变化%相关性分析%武夷山市
氣候舒適度%客流量變化%相關性分析%武夷山市
기후서괄도%객류량변화%상관성분석%무이산시
climate comfort degree%variation of tourist amount%correlation analysis%Wuyishan city
以近30年气候统计资料为依据,采用生理气候指标温湿指数THI和风效指数K对武夷山市旅游气候舒适度进行分析评价;结合近4年客流量的年内变化,计算客流量月指数并划分了旅游活动的淡旺季;最后采用OLS方法建立客流量月指数与气候舒适度指数的相关性模拟方程.结果表明:气候舒适度对武夷山市旅游有较大影响,入境旅游月指数气候弹性系数为0.580%;国内旅游还受到众多社会经济因素(节假日等)的影响,其月指数气候弹性系数为1.246%;景区的一些促销活动对该弹性系数会产生一定影响,从而减少了气候舒适度对武夷山客流量变化的影响.
以近30年氣候統計資料為依據,採用生理氣候指標溫濕指數THI和風效指數K對武夷山市旅遊氣候舒適度進行分析評價;結閤近4年客流量的年內變化,計算客流量月指數併劃分瞭旅遊活動的淡旺季;最後採用OLS方法建立客流量月指數與氣候舒適度指數的相關性模擬方程.結果錶明:氣候舒適度對武夷山市旅遊有較大影響,入境旅遊月指數氣候彈性繫數為0.580%;國內旅遊還受到衆多社會經濟因素(節假日等)的影響,其月指數氣候彈性繫數為1.246%;景區的一些促銷活動對該彈性繫數會產生一定影響,從而減少瞭氣候舒適度對武夷山客流量變化的影響.
이근30년기후통계자료위의거,채용생리기후지표온습지수THI화풍효지수K대무이산시여유기후서괄도진행분석평개;결합근4년객류량적년내변화,계산객류량월지수병화분료여유활동적담왕계;최후채용OLS방법건립객류량월지수여기후서괄도지수적상관성모의방정.결과표명:기후서괄도대무이산시여유유교대영향,입경여유월지수기후탄성계수위0.580%;국내여유환수도음다사회경제인소(절가일등)적영향,기월지수기후탄성계수위1.246%;경구적일사촉소활동대해탄성계수회산생일정영향,종이감소료기후서괄도대무이산객류량변화적영향.
Based on climate statistical data in recent 30 years,the paper analyses and evaluates climate comfort degree in Wuyishan city with the method of THI and wind effect index(K);then the paper calculates monthly index of tourist amount and presentes tour peak season and tour off-season by using the data of annual tourist amount in four years;lastly,the paper establishes the correlation equation of monthly index of tourist amount and climate comfort degree index.The results show:climate comfort degree has much impact on Wuyishan tourism and inbound tourism monthly index coefficient is 0.580%;besides the factor of climate comfort degree,domestic tourism is affected by many factors like vacation,and its monthly index coefficient is 1.246%;mixed sales promotion in sightseeing district will affect coefficient and lead to reduce the effect which is put on Wuyishan tourist amount by climate comfort degree.