工业技术经济
工業技術經濟
공업기술경제
INDUSTRIAL TECHNOLOGY & ECONOMY
2014年
2期
75-80
,共6页
新能源汽车%产业发展%路径依赖%破解
新能源汽車%產業髮展%路徑依賴%破解
신능원기차%산업발전%로경의뢰%파해
new energy vehicles%industrial development%path dependence%solution
在全球能源日趋紧张，生态环境日益恶化的背景下，新能源汽车研发与应用日益成为世界各国共同关注的焦点，加快新能源汽车产业发展日益成为世界各国共同的战略选择。本文以路径依赖理论为研究视角，对我国新能源汽车产业的发展现状进行了考察。研究发现，在新能源汽车产业发展过程中面临着传统能源汽车产业凭借其初始地位和自我强化机制形成的路径依赖效应，这种路径依赖效应在一定程度上导致了对传统能源汽车的“锁定”，不利于新能源汽车的应用和推广。另一方面，这种由于路径依赖效应导致的锁定现象本质上是一种“有条件的均衡”，并非不能破解，而要破解非良性的路径依赖，需要对其形成的机理进行分析，进而采取针对性的措施。具体来说，应从以下几个方面着手：优化新能源汽车产业发展战略；加强技术创新，突破新能源汽车产业发展的技术瓶颈；加强制度创新，完善新能源汽车产业发展政策；加快新能源汽车相关基础设施建设；充分利用缝隙市场和技术兼容策略，争取尽快达到良性路径依赖的临界容量等。
在全毬能源日趨緊張，生態環境日益噁化的揹景下，新能源汽車研髮與應用日益成為世界各國共同關註的焦點，加快新能源汽車產業髮展日益成為世界各國共同的戰略選擇。本文以路徑依賴理論為研究視角，對我國新能源汽車產業的髮展現狀進行瞭攷察。研究髮現，在新能源汽車產業髮展過程中麵臨著傳統能源汽車產業憑藉其初始地位和自我彊化機製形成的路徑依賴效應，這種路徑依賴效應在一定程度上導緻瞭對傳統能源汽車的“鎖定”，不利于新能源汽車的應用和推廣。另一方麵，這種由于路徑依賴效應導緻的鎖定現象本質上是一種“有條件的均衡”，併非不能破解，而要破解非良性的路徑依賴，需要對其形成的機理進行分析，進而採取針對性的措施。具體來說，應從以下幾箇方麵著手：優化新能源汽車產業髮展戰略；加彊技術創新，突破新能源汽車產業髮展的技術瓶頸；加彊製度創新，完善新能源汽車產業髮展政策；加快新能源汽車相關基礎設施建設；充分利用縫隙市場和技術兼容策略，爭取儘快達到良性路徑依賴的臨界容量等。
재전구능원일추긴장，생태배경일익악화적배경하，신능원기차연발여응용일익성위세계각국공동관주적초점，가쾌신능원기차산업발전일익성위세계각국공동적전략선택。본문이로경의뢰이론위연구시각，대아국신능원기차산업적발전현상진행료고찰。연구발현，재신능원기차산업발전과정중면림착전통능원기차산업빙차기초시지위화자아강화궤제형성적로경의뢰효응，저충로경의뢰효응재일정정도상도치료대전통능원기차적“쇄정”，불리우신능원기차적응용화추엄。령일방면，저충유우로경의뢰효응도치적쇄정현상본질상시일충“유조건적균형”，병비불능파해，이요파해비량성적로경의뢰，수요대기형성적궤리진행분석，진이채취침대성적조시。구체래설，응종이하궤개방면착수：우화신능원기차산업발전전략；가강기술창신，돌파신능원기차산업발전적기술병경；가강제도창신，완선신능원기차산업발전정책；가쾌신능원기차상관기출설시건설；충분이용봉극시장화기술겸용책략，쟁취진쾌체도량성로경의뢰적림계용량등。
In the situation of the world energy crisis and global environment worsen , development and application of new energy ve-hicles is increasingly becoming the focus of attention of all countries , accelerating the development of new energy vehicles industry is in-creasingly becoming common strategic choice around the world . In this paper , China's new energy vehicles industry development situation were investigated from the perspective of path dependence theory . The study has found that the effect of path dependence , which based on the initial advantages and self -reinforcing mechanism of traditional automobile industry , unavoidably exists in the process of new energy vehicles industry development , leads automobile industry to lock in traditional technical and institutional development path . Meanwhile , this lock-in phenomenon which is essentially a “conditional equilibrium” can be cracked by taking pertinence measures . Specifically , the measures mainly include the following aspects :optimization of new energy vehicles industry development strategy ;strengthening tech-nology innovation , breaking through technology bottlenecks ;strengthening institution innovation , improving the industrial policy ;acceler-ating related infrastructure construction ;making full use of niche markets and technologies compatible strategies , trying to achieve the criti-cal capacity of benign path dependence as soon as possible , etc .
