CAJ | 학술논문

探究区域物流与区域经济互动关系是提高区域物流能力、促进区域经济发展的重要途径。以货物周转量、区域物流业产值作为区域物流能力指标,以GDP作为区域经济发展水平指标,以安徽省1978～2010年的相关数据为基础,运用EViews6.0对其进行回归分析,并建立区域物流与区域经济互动关系测度和预测模型进行实证分析。研究结果表明：安徽省区域物流与区域经济具有显著相关性;1978年以来,安徽省区域物流发展可以分为物流缺乏、物流供求平衡和物流迅速发展三个阶段;未来十年,区域经济将极大地拉动物流发展。在此基础上,提出安徽省区域物流业与区域经济互动发展的政策建议。
탐구구역물류여구역경제호동관계시제고구역물류능력、촉진구역경제발전적중요도경。이화물주전량、구역물류업산치작위구역물류능력지표,이GDP작위구역경제발전수평지표,이안휘성1978～2010년적상관수거위기출,운용EViews6.0대기진행회귀분석,병건립구역물류여구역경제호동관계측도화예측모형진행실증분석。연구결과표명：안휘성구역물류여구역경제구유현저상관성;1978년이래,안휘성구역물류발전가이분위물류결핍、물류공구평형화물류신속발전삼개계단;미래십년,구역경제장겁대지랍동물류발전。재차기출상,제출안휘성구역물류업여구역경제호동발전적정책건의。
It is an important task to coordinate regional logistics capability and regional economic development. Using turnover volume of goods and regional logistics production value as logistics capability index, and using GDP as regional economic development levels index, this paper carries out regressing analyses and an empirical research of interactive development between regional logistics and regional economic development by building relationship measure and forecasting mode. The results show that there is a marked interrelationship between regional economic development and regional logistics in Anhui province. The development of Anhui logistics industry can be divided into three stages since 1978, namely, logistics deficient stage, logistics balanced stage, and logistics rapidly developing stage. Regional economic development will give great impetus to regional logistics development in the next decade. In view of this, this paper puts forward some policy proposals concerning the interactive development between regional logistics and regional economic development in Anhui province.