CAJ | 학술논문

本文基于EKC理论对云南省经济增长与碳排放之间的关系进行验证，结果表明二者之间不存在倒U型曲线，而是呈线性关系，并且存在长期的协整关系。采用LMDI分解方法对云南省人均碳排放进行因素分解，结果表明经济发展是拉动人均碳排放增长的主要因素，能源效率和能源结构是抑制碳排放增长的因素。最后，在上述分析的基础上，提出了几点建议。
본문기우EKC이론대운남성경제증장여탄배방지간적관계진행험증，결과표명이자지간불존재도U형곡선，이시정선성관계，병차존재장기적협정관계。채용LMDI분해방법대운남성인균탄배방진행인소분해，결과표명경제발전시랍동인균탄배방증장적주요인소，능원효솔화능원결구시억제탄배방증장적인소。최후，재상술분석적기출상，제출료궤점건의。
This paper, based on the EKC theory, analysis the relationship between economic growth and carbon emissions of Yunnan province. the results indicate that there was a linear relationship between them rather than the"inverted U";the economic growth of Yunnan province would promote the increase of carbon emissions. LMDI model shows that:the economic development was the fundamental reason for carbon emissions in Yunnan province and it was the main driving factors of carbon emissions per capita growth; energy structure was not obvious to reduce the carbon emissions;energy efficiency was the main inhibitory factor of Yunnan per capita carbon emission.