CAJ | 학술논문

为了快速搜索CZ-2 F火箭整流罩残骸，研究了残骸坠落飞行规律和落点散布规律，建立了高空风修正的整流罩残骸落点预报模型，反推计算了以往任务整流罩残骸的特征面积，并按其分布规律分组计算了残骸坠落过程中出现的5类平均特征面积，依据出现概率将搜索范围缩小为5个32 km2的小区域，搜索面积减少了约90％。神舟十号任务中，整流罩残骸坠落于预报落区内，实际落点与预报落点间的距离小于2 km ，增强了搜索工作的针对性，提高了搜索效率。
위료쾌속수색CZ-2 F화전정류조잔해，연구료잔해추락비행규률화낙점산포규률，건립료고공풍수정적정류조잔해낙점예보모형，반추계산료이왕임무정류조잔해적특정면적，병안기분포규률분조계산료잔해추락과정중출현적5류평균특정면적，의거출현개솔장수색범위축소위5개32 km2적소구역，수색면적감소료약90％。신주십호임무중，정류조잔해추락우예보락구내，실제낙점여예보낙점간적거리소우2 km ，증강료수색공작적침대성，제고료수색효솔。
To realize the rapid searching the CZ-2F Rocket’s fairing debris, an impact point predic-tion model based on the correction of high altitude wind was proposed after in-depth study of the deb-ris’ falling down rule and the distribution of the impact point .The feature areas of the fairing debris in the former missions were calculated , then 5 kinds of average feature areas caused by the falling debris were figured out based on the distribution of the fairing debris , and the entire searching area was divided into 5 small areas of 32 km2 based on their appearance probabilities , which could reduce the actual searching area by 90 percent.In Shenzhou 10 mission, the fairing debris fell in the fore-casted area , the distance between the actual impact point and the forecasted point was less than 2 km.The results showed that this impact point prediction method could improve the efficiency of the debris search .