基于随机时间序列法的新疆乙肝发病率预测
기우수궤시간서렬법적신강을간발병솔예측
The Forecasting about Hepatitis B Incidence in Xinjiang Based on the Random Time Series Method
  • 万方数据
    数理医药学杂志 수리의약학잡지
    JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL MEDICINE
    2013年 6期 631-634,635 ,共5页

    郑彦玲%郑艳梅%张利萍

    정언령%정염매%장리평

    乙肝%随机时间序列%预测 乙肝%隨機時間序列%預測
    을간%수궤시간서렬%예측
    hepatitis B%random time series%forecast
    通过2006～2010年新疆乙肝月发病率数据分析建立了时间序列模型，该模型能够较好的预测短期内新疆乙肝的流行情况，对乙肝的流行情况进行预警，提前做好预防控制的准备。
    통과2006～2010년신강을간월발병솔수거분석건립료시간서렬모형，해모형능구교호적예측단기내신강을간적류행정황，대을간적류행정황진행예경，제전주호예방공제적준비。
    Based on the reported data of Hepatitis B of xinjiang province from 2006 to 2010 ,the author tries to establish time series'model ,the model can well predict short-term incidence of Hepatitis B in Xin-jiang ,and provides a scientific basis for the prevention and control of the Hepatitis B .
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