江苏水利
江囌水利
강소수리
JIANGSU WATER RESOURCES
2013年
10期
41-42,45
,共3页
董家根%栾承梅%徐明
董傢根%欒承梅%徐明
동가근%란승매%서명
设计洪水%copula%联合分布%年最大洪峰流量%年最大7d洪量
設計洪水%copula%聯閤分佈%年最大洪峰流量%年最大7d洪量
설계홍수%copula%연합분포%년최대홍봉류량%년최대7d홍량
design flood%Copula%joint distribution%annual maximum peak discharge%annual maximum seven days flood volume
以汀江流域上某站点的实测洪水资料为样本,利用Gumbel-Hougaard Copula函数构建两个边缘分布为P-Ⅲ型分布的年最大洪峰流量系列与年最大7d洪量之间的联合分布。实测资料的率定结果表明,年最大洪峰流量和年最大7d洪量的联合观测值的理论概率分布与经验概率分布拟合得很好。并基于此理论联合分布,进行了一些分析计算。
以汀江流域上某站點的實測洪水資料為樣本,利用Gumbel-Hougaard Copula函數構建兩箇邊緣分佈為P-Ⅲ型分佈的年最大洪峰流量繫列與年最大7d洪量之間的聯閤分佈。實測資料的率定結果錶明,年最大洪峰流量和年最大7d洪量的聯閤觀測值的理論概率分佈與經驗概率分佈擬閤得很好。併基于此理論聯閤分佈,進行瞭一些分析計算。
이정강류역상모참점적실측홍수자료위양본,이용Gumbel-Hougaard Copula함수구건량개변연분포위P-Ⅲ형분포적년최대홍봉류량계렬여년최대7d홍량지간적연합분포。실측자료적솔정결과표명,년최대홍봉류량화년최대7d홍량적연합관측치적이론개솔분포여경험개솔분포의합득흔호。병기우차이론연합분포,진행료일사분석계산。
In this paper,take some oberserved flood series from a hydrology station of Tingjiang basin as an sample,The Gumbel- hougaard Copula function was used to analyze the joint distributions between annual maximum peak discharge series and annual maximum seven days flood volume series which are both with Pearson type Ⅲmarginal distributions.The results show that a good agreement can be observed between theoretical joint and empirical distribution of annual maximum peak discharge and annual maximum seven days flood volume. On the basis of the marginal and theoretical distributions of these two variables, some analysis and calculation were carried out.