教育与经济
教育與經濟
교육여경제
EDUCATION AND ECONOMY
2014年
2期
64-72
,共9页
教育投入%经济增长绩效%区域比较
教育投入%經濟增長績效%區域比較
교육투입%경제증장적효%구역비교
educational investment%economic performance%regional comparison
基于北京、上海和广东三地的面板数据,本文采用修正的新古典经济增长模型,在协整基础上运用Granger因果检验、ECM模型及脉冲响应等方法进行教育投入与经济增长绩效长、短期关系的区域比较,发现北京教育投入对经济增长绩效统计不显著,上海、广东教育投入与经济增长均存在双向Granger因果关系,而广东教育投入对经济增长具有持续显著的高正向激励。本研究的现实意义是:资源高聚集区域的教育投入适度转移,能提高教育投入对经济增长贡献;教育发展程度较低区域的教育投入具有更显著、正向和持久的增长驱动力。
基于北京、上海和廣東三地的麵闆數據,本文採用脩正的新古典經濟增長模型,在協整基礎上運用Granger因果檢驗、ECM模型及脈遲響應等方法進行教育投入與經濟增長績效長、短期關繫的區域比較,髮現北京教育投入對經濟增長績效統計不顯著,上海、廣東教育投入與經濟增長均存在雙嚮Granger因果關繫,而廣東教育投入對經濟增長具有持續顯著的高正嚮激勵。本研究的現實意義是:資源高聚集區域的教育投入適度轉移,能提高教育投入對經濟增長貢獻;教育髮展程度較低區域的教育投入具有更顯著、正嚮和持久的增長驅動力。
기우북경、상해화엄동삼지적면판수거,본문채용수정적신고전경제증장모형,재협정기출상운용Granger인과검험、ECM모형급맥충향응등방법진행교육투입여경제증장적효장、단기관계적구역비교,발현북경교육투입대경제증장적효통계불현저,상해、엄동교육투입여경제증장균존재쌍향Granger인과관계,이엄동교육투입대경제증장구유지속현저적고정향격려。본연구적현실의의시:자원고취집구역적교육투입괄도전이,능제고교육투입대경제증장공헌;교육발전정도교저구역적교육투입구유경현저、정향화지구적증장구동력。
Based on panel data (1996-2012) of Beijing,Shanghai and Guangdong, the author uses a modified neoclassical economic growth model to undertake the regional comparisons of the short-term and long-term relationship between educational investment and economic growth performance,and on the basis of co-integrating, techniques of Granger causality,ECM model and pulse-response analysis are also employed. The research, finds mutual Granger causality between educational investment and economic growth in Shanghai and Guangdong, but unilateral Granger causality in Beijing, interpreting educational investment as a more robust facilitating factor to regional economic growth. Besides, educational investment has continuously significant and positive incentive toward economic growth. This paper indicates that appropriate transfer of educational investment in resource-intensive region can promote the effect of educational investment on economic growth, and educational investment has more outstanding, positive and enduring growth drives in region that development degree of education is not high.