中国科技资源导刊
中國科技資源導刊
중국과기자원도간
CHINA SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY RESOURCES REVIEW
2013年
6期
21-25
,共5页
科技创新%科技经费%科技投入%经济增长%协整检验%格兰杰因果检验
科技創新%科技經費%科技投入%經濟增長%協整檢驗%格蘭傑因果檢驗
과기창신%과기경비%과기투입%경제증장%협정검험%격란걸인과검험
scientiifc innovation%science and technology funds%science and technology input%economic growth%co-integration test%granger causality test
研究采用格兰杰因果检验方法,对浙江省1990-2011年度研究与试验发展经费支出、大中型工业企业科技活动经费支出以及高等学校科技活动经费支出的统计,进行科技经费投入与经济增长之间关系的实证分析。研究结果显示,总体上,浙江省科技经费投入与经济增长之间存在着明显的格兰杰因果关系,并构成了稳定的均衡关系。长期来看,大中型工业企业科技经费投入与经济增长之间不存在明显的格兰杰因果关系。经济增长对科技经费投入基本不存在单项的格兰杰因果关系,经济的增长需要投入更多的科技经费,但同时不能忽视经费投入效率。
研究採用格蘭傑因果檢驗方法,對浙江省1990-2011年度研究與試驗髮展經費支齣、大中型工業企業科技活動經費支齣以及高等學校科技活動經費支齣的統計,進行科技經費投入與經濟增長之間關繫的實證分析。研究結果顯示,總體上,浙江省科技經費投入與經濟增長之間存在著明顯的格蘭傑因果關繫,併構成瞭穩定的均衡關繫。長期來看,大中型工業企業科技經費投入與經濟增長之間不存在明顯的格蘭傑因果關繫。經濟增長對科技經費投入基本不存在單項的格蘭傑因果關繫,經濟的增長需要投入更多的科技經費,但同時不能忽視經費投入效率。
연구채용격란걸인과검험방법,대절강성1990-2011년도연구여시험발전경비지출、대중형공업기업과기활동경비지출이급고등학교과기활동경비지출적통계,진행과기경비투입여경제증장지간관계적실증분석。연구결과현시,총체상,절강성과기경비투입여경제증장지간존재착명현적격란걸인과관계,병구성료은정적균형관계。장기래간,대중형공업기업과기경비투입여경제증장지간불존재명현적격란걸인과관계。경제증장대과기경비투입기본불존재단항적격란걸인과관계,경제적증장수요투입경다적과기경비,단동시불능홀시경비투입효솔。
Adopting Grainger causality test, this study conducts the research on the relationship between sci-tech input and economic growth based on Zhejiang province through using the 1990-2011 annual statistical data, which put the research and experimental development expenditures, medium-sized industrial enterprises expenditures in scientiifc and technological activities and college technological activities expenditures as a co-integration object. hTe results show that, on the whole, there is a clear Granger causality between science and technology funding and economic growth of Zhejiang province, and constitute a stable equilibrium relationship. In the long term, there is no obvious granger causality between medium-sized industrial enterprises expenditures in science and technology funds and economic growth. Single granger causality between economic growth and science and technology fund does not exist. Based on research, we make an conclusion that the government need to put more science and technology funds, but at the same time, they cannot ignore the effciency of funding.