CAJ | 학술논문

新型城镇化应该强化产业支撑作用，产业是新型城镇化的持续动力。本文在宏观比较西部地区主要省份的经济发展与城镇化现状之后，分析了甘肃省内各市州，特别是临夏州城镇化发展中存在的产业支撑问题，利用就业弹性系数量化了经济发展对于就业人口的拉动作用。通过细分行业的就业创造能力系数，建立预测模型，并利用临夏州2016年、2020年的经济发展预期，估算了三种情景下产业发展对于新型城镇化战略的就业人口吸收能力。
신형성진화응해강화산업지탱작용，산업시신형성진화적지속동력。본문재굉관비교서부지구주요성빈적경제발전여성진화현상지후，분석료감숙성내각시주，특별시림하주성진화발전중존재적산업지탱문제，이용취업탄성계수양화료경제발전대우취업인구적랍동작용。통과세분행업적취업창조능력계수，건립예측모형，병이용림하주2016년、2020년적경제발전예기，고산료삼충정경하산업발전대우신형성진화전략적취업인구흡수능력。
New urbanization should strengthen the role of industry development; the industry is the continued support to new urbanization. This paper compares the status of the macro-economic development and urbanization in the western region of the main provinces,and also the cities and states are analyzed in Gansu province,especially the urbanization development in Linxia. Using the employment elasticity to the economic development ,this work quanlity the employed population increased by the development of industry. After analyzing the factors affect the sub-sector job creation capacity ,a predictive model used under three scenarios to estimates the job creation using the GDP expectations of Linxia 2016 ,2020.