CAJ | 학술논문

比较准确地测算了我国29个省份的二氧化碳排放总量和人均排放量，并根据人均排放和收入，构建省级二氧化碳排放异质型面板，利用动态面板数据模型研究我国二氧化碳排放EKC曲线及影响因素。实证结果显示，高收入和低排放低收入地区的经济发展水平与二氧化碳排放量存在倒“U”型关系，环境库兹涅兹曲线假说成立。经济和产业结构、能源消费、国际贸易和城市化水平等是我国二氧化碳排放的重要影响因素。另外，我国二氧化碳排放表现出明显的路径依赖现象。
비교준학지측산료아국29개성빈적이양화탄배방총량화인균배방량，병근거인균배방화수입，구건성급이양화탄배방이질형면판，이용동태면판수거모형연구아국이양화탄배방EKC곡선급영향인소。실증결과현시，고수입화저배방저수입지구적경제발전수평여이양화탄배방량존재도“U”형관계，배경고자열자곡선가설성립。경제화산업결구、능원소비、국제무역화성시화수평등시아국이양화탄배방적중요영향인소。령외，아국이양화탄배방표현출명현적로경의뢰현상。
CO2 emissions of 29 provinces in China are calculated accurately in this article and analysed comparatively in four different areas,high-income ones with high emission,high-income low emission,low-income high emission and low-income low e-mission. Meanwhile,in the framework of dynamic panel data model,what influences carbon dioxide emissions are also investigated here. The results indicate that the hypothesis of environmental Kuznets Curve is established,according to the inverted U-shaped re-lationship that lingers between the level of economic development and CO2 emissions except the area of low-income high emission. Significant positive influence has been proved by energy comsuption,the level of urbanization and foreign trade. In addition,an obvious phenomenon of path dependence is evidently expressed.