CAJ | 학술논문

2003年以来，国家及上海市委、市政府相继出台一些遏制工业用地的粗放扩张政策，那么其控制成效如何，工业郊区化只是工业转移还是带来更好的用地效益。针对这些问题，采用GIS空间分析、统计分析和边际效益建模等方法，探讨政策调控对上海市工业用地扩张的作用效果和对工业用地效益的影响，并提出相关政策建议。研究结果表明：上海市郊区工业用地扩张明显，空间上趋于分散，工业用地效益有所提升，但相比国外发达地区，仍存在较大差距；工业向园区集中的政策驱动效果明显，工业郊区化转移并未给中心城区工业带来衰败迹象，郊区工业也并未体现出相应实力，控制工业用地扩张政策效果不佳；工业用地边际效益分析发现，边际效益呈递减趋势，工业经济增长仍主要依赖于工业用地的增加，粗放型增长未得到有效改善。
2003년이래，국가급상해시위、시정부상계출태일사알제공업용지적조방확장정책，나요기공제성효여하，공업교구화지시공업전이환시대래경호적용지효익。침대저사문제，채용GIS공간분석、통계분석화변제효익건모등방법，탐토정책조공대상해시공업용지확장적작용효과화대공업용지효익적영향，병제출상관정책건의。연구결과표명：상해시교구공업용지확장명현，공간상추우분산，공업용지효익유소제승，단상비국외발체지구，잉존재교대차거；공업향완구집중적정책구동효과명현，공업교구화전이병미급중심성구공업대래쇠패적상，교구공업야병미체현출상응실력，공제공업용지확장정책효과불가；공업용지변제효익분석발현，변제효익정체감추세，공업경제증장잉주요의뢰우공업용지적증가，조방형증장미득도유효개선。
After 2003, some control and guide policies of industrial land have been frequently introduced by China and Shanghai municipal government to con-tain the spread extensive expansion of industrial land. How is the control effect? Does industrial suburbanization just transfer or bring better land efficiency? Accordance with these problems, the methods of GIS spatial analy-sis, statistical analysis, marginal efficiency modeling and others are ap-plied to discuss the effects of policy control on industrial land expansion and industrial land efficiency, and then some policy suggestions are given. The results demonstrate that suburb industrial land expansion is obvious in Shanghai and the spatial distribution trends to scatter, industrial land effi-ciency have improved, but there is still a wide gap compared with foreign de-veloped areas; the driven effect of the industry to parks concentration policy is obvious, industrial suburbanization transfer does not make the industries in the central city declined, and the industries in the suburb does not re-flect the corresponding strength, the effects of control policy on industrial land expansion is not good; the marginal efficiency of industrial land pre-sents a decreasing trend by marginal efficiency analysis in Shanghai, and in-dustrial economic growth is still mainly dependent on the increase of indus-trial land, extensive growth have not been improved effectively.