电讯技术
電訊技術
전신기술
TELECOMMUNICATIONS ENGINEERING
2014年
9期
1298-1302
,共5页
测控装备%状态/故障预测%结构关系网络%置信概率%预测精度%寿命分布函数
測控裝備%狀態/故障預測%結構關繫網絡%置信概率%預測精度%壽命分佈函數
측공장비%상태/고장예측%결구관계망락%치신개솔%예측정도%수명분포함수
TT&C equipment%state/fault prediction%structure network%confidence probability%prediction precision%life function
靶场测控装备的管控与状态预测对于确保靶场试验任务的顺利开展有着重要的意义，也是状态/故障处理研究领域的发展方向。结合装备结构关系网络，通过对状态信号的分析，给出了靶场测控设备单元的状态预测方法。依据电子元器件寿命规律，结合状态异常出现的分布函数，重点构建了离散型状态变量的预测模型，提出了相应的预测流程和方法。仿真计算表明，提出的状态及故障预测模型和方法有效，可为提高任务期间装备的可靠性提供判断依据。
靶場測控裝備的管控與狀態預測對于確保靶場試驗任務的順利開展有著重要的意義，也是狀態/故障處理研究領域的髮展方嚮。結閤裝備結構關繫網絡，通過對狀態信號的分析，給齣瞭靶場測控設備單元的狀態預測方法。依據電子元器件壽命規律，結閤狀態異常齣現的分佈函數，重點構建瞭離散型狀態變量的預測模型，提齣瞭相應的預測流程和方法。倣真計算錶明，提齣的狀態及故障預測模型和方法有效，可為提高任務期間裝備的可靠性提供判斷依據。
파장측공장비적관공여상태예측대우학보파장시험임무적순리개전유착중요적의의，야시상태/고장처리연구영역적발전방향。결합장비결구관계망락，통과대상태신호적분석，급출료파장측공설비단원적상태예측방법。의거전자원기건수명규률，결합상태이상출현적분포함수，중점구건료리산형상태변량적예측모형，제출료상응적예측류정화방법。방진계산표명，제출적상태급고장예측모형화방법유효，가위제고임무기간장비적가고성제공판단의거。
Management & control and state prediction for range’s TT&C equipment plays an important role in test task,and is also a tendency of research and application. A state prediction method for range’s TT&C equipment is proposed in this paper. The network relationship for equipment structure is constructed. Ac-cording to electronic parts and components’ life rules, a distribution function for state abnormality is de-signed and the prediction model for discrete state variable is established,and corresponding prediction flow and method are presented. The simulation indicates that the proposed method is valid, and it also offers technical support for improving equipment reliability during test task.
