农机化研究
農機化研究
농궤화연구
JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL MECHANIZATION RESEARCH
2014年
4期
1-6,11
,共7页
农机购置补贴%一般均衡分析%CGE模型%SAM表
農機購置補貼%一般均衡分析%CGE模型%SAM錶
농궤구치보첩%일반균형분석%CGE모형%SAM표
the Farm Machinery Purchase Subsidiary Policy%general eguilibrium analysis%CGE model%SAM Table
为定量分析农机购置补贴政策对农业生产与国民经济的影响,利用投入产出表数据编制 SAM 表,采用GAMS程序建立CGE 模型,对农机购置补贴政策进行了模拟分析。结果表明:农机购置补贴政策有利于减少农业生产的劳动力投入,促进农村剩余劳动力向二、三产业转移;农机购置补贴金额增加将导致农业部门及其他部门的产出增加、产品价格下降,同时提高居民的消费效用,促进农业部门的出口增加、进口减少。为进一步提高我国农业劳动生产率和农产品国际竞争力,建议进一步丰富农机购置补贴形式,扩大农机购置补贴种类,加强农机购置补贴监管。
為定量分析農機購置補貼政策對農業生產與國民經濟的影響,利用投入產齣錶數據編製 SAM 錶,採用GAMS程序建立CGE 模型,對農機購置補貼政策進行瞭模擬分析。結果錶明:農機購置補貼政策有利于減少農業生產的勞動力投入,促進農村剩餘勞動力嚮二、三產業轉移;農機購置補貼金額增加將導緻農業部門及其他部門的產齣增加、產品價格下降,同時提高居民的消費效用,促進農業部門的齣口增加、進口減少。為進一步提高我國農業勞動生產率和農產品國際競爭力,建議進一步豐富農機購置補貼形式,擴大農機購置補貼種類,加彊農機購置補貼鑑管。
위정량분석농궤구치보첩정책대농업생산여국민경제적영향,이용투입산출표수거편제 SAM 표,채용GAMS정서건립CGE 모형,대농궤구치보첩정책진행료모의분석。결과표명:농궤구치보첩정책유리우감소농업생산적노동력투입,촉진농촌잉여노동력향이、삼산업전이;농궤구치보첩금액증가장도치농업부문급기타부문적산출증가、산품개격하강,동시제고거민적소비효용,촉진농업부문적출구증가、진구감소。위진일보제고아국농업노동생산솔화농산품국제경쟁력,건의진일보봉부농궤구치보첩형식,확대농궤구치보첩충류,가강농궤구치보첩감관。
In order to evaluate the quantitative impact of the farm machinery purchase subsidy on agricultural production and the national economy , the paper complicates a Social Accounting Matrix table with the 2007 input-output data and builds up a CGE model to simulate and analyze the farm machinery purchase subsidiary policy with the GAMS program . The results show that: the farm machinery purchase subsidy policy helps to reduce the labor input of agricultural pro -duction and promote the transfer of rural surplus labors to the secondary and tertiary industries .In addition, increasing the amount of farm machinery purchase subsidy will increase the output of the agricultural sector and other sectors , lower the product price , improve the residents'consumption utility and increase the export and reduce the import of the agricul-tural sector .To further enhance the agricultural labor productivity and competitiveness of agricultural products , it is rec-ommended to further enrich the subsidiary forms , expand the subsidized agricultural machinery types and strengthen the regulation in agricultural machinery purchase subsidies .