西部交通科技
西部交通科技
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WESTERN CHINA COMMUNICATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY
2012年
11期
45-48
,共4页
分担率%Logit模型%南广高铁%公路客运
分擔率%Logit模型%南廣高鐵%公路客運
분담솔%Logit모형%남엄고철%공로객운
Sharing rate%Logit model%Nan-Guang high-speed railway%Highway passenger transport
对分担率进行科学的预测是交通运输规划的基础性工作，是制定运输决策的重要依据。文章经过比较选取多项Logit模型为分担率预测模型，介绍了模型建立与求解的方法，并运用该模型对南广高铁沿线客流分担率进行预测分析。
對分擔率進行科學的預測是交通運輸規劃的基礎性工作，是製定運輸決策的重要依據。文章經過比較選取多項Logit模型為分擔率預測模型，介紹瞭模型建立與求解的方法，併運用該模型對南廣高鐵沿線客流分擔率進行預測分析。
대분담솔진행과학적예측시교통운수규화적기출성공작，시제정운수결책적중요의거。문장경과비교선취다항Logit모형위분담솔예측모형，개소료모형건립여구해적방법，병운용해모형대남엄고철연선객류분담솔진행예측분석。
The scientific forecast of sharing rate is the basic work of transportation planning, and it is also the important basis for developing the transportation decision.The article se- lected the multinomial Logit model as the sharing rate forecast model through the compari- son, introduced the model establishment and solving method,and used this model to fore- cast and analyze the passenger sharing rate along Nan-Guang high-speed railway.
