物流科技
物流科技
물류과기
LOGISTICS MANAGEMENT
2012年
12期
70-73
,共4页
区域物流%两岸物流指数%季节调整%层析分析
區域物流%兩岸物流指數%季節調整%層析分析
구역물류%량안물류지수%계절조정%층석분석
regional logistics%cross-strait logistics index%seasonaladjustment%analytic hierarchy process
随着两岸交往的日益频繁,衡量两岸物流发展对于建立监测两岸合作程度与繁荣程度趋势的依据有重要的意义,而目前对于两岸区域物流的研究并不深入。通过构造两岸物流合成指数,量化两岸物流发展,为两岸区域物流更深入的研究打下基础。首先选取了能够客观反映物流景气程度的四类统计指标,然后基于近年相关统计数据对所选指标的数据进行采集和预处理,利用X-11季节调整方法过滤指标数据的季节性,在通过层次分析法计算了物流指数指标的权重之后计算出两岸物流指数,通过和主要经济指标进行对比,验证了文章构建两岸物流指数的有效性。
隨著兩岸交往的日益頻繁,衡量兩岸物流髮展對于建立鑑測兩岸閤作程度與繁榮程度趨勢的依據有重要的意義,而目前對于兩岸區域物流的研究併不深入。通過構造兩岸物流閤成指數,量化兩岸物流髮展,為兩岸區域物流更深入的研究打下基礎。首先選取瞭能夠客觀反映物流景氣程度的四類統計指標,然後基于近年相關統計數據對所選指標的數據進行採集和預處理,利用X-11季節調整方法過濾指標數據的季節性,在通過層次分析法計算瞭物流指數指標的權重之後計算齣兩岸物流指數,通過和主要經濟指標進行對比,驗證瞭文章構建兩岸物流指數的有效性。
수착량안교왕적일익빈번,형량량안물류발전대우건립감측량안합작정도여번영정도추세적의거유중요적의의,이목전대우량안구역물류적연구병불심입。통과구조량안물류합성지수,양화량안물류발전,위량안구역물류경심입적연구타하기출。수선선취료능구객관반영물류경기정도적사류통계지표,연후기우근년상관통계수거대소선지표적수거진행채집화예처리,이용X-11계절조정방법과려지표수거적계절성,재통과층차분석법계산료물류지수지표적권중지후계산출량안물류지수,통과화주요경제지표진행대비,험증료문장구건량안물류지수적유효성。
As the cross-strait exchanges become more frequent,the measure of cross-strait logistics development is ofgreat importance for monitoring the degree of cross-strait cooperationand prosperity trends.However,current study oncross-strait regional logistics is not in-depth.In this paper,the cross-strait logistics composite index is established toquantify the cross-strait logistics development,and it lays thefoundation for further in-depth study of cross-strait regionallogistics.Firstly,four types of indicators are selected to objectivelyreflect the extent of the logistics boom.After data acquisitionand pre-processing,the X-11 seasonal adjustmentmethod is used to filter indicator data.With weight of the indicatorsdecided by analytic hierarchy process,the cross-straitlogistics index is calculated.Comparison with major economicindicators,the validity of index is verified.
