山东理工大学学报：自然科学版
山東理工大學學報：自然科學版
산동리공대학학보：자연과학판
Journal of Shandong University of Technology:Science and Technology
2012年
5期
36-39
,共4页
尾矿坝%变形趋势%灰色GM(1%1)预测%预测模型
尾礦壩%變形趨勢%灰色GM(1%1)預測%預測模型
미광패%변형추세%회색GM(1%1)예측%예측모형
tailing dam%the trend of deformation%grey GM(1.1) prediction%prediction model
尾矿坝变形趋势预测是矿山尾矿库安全技术管理的重要内容．为了实现对尾矿坝变形趋势的预测，在深入分析尾矿坝变形机理并充分认识尾矿库工程系统及坝体变形数据特性的基础上，采用灰色GM（1．1）模型对尾矿坝的变形进行预测，并结合某金矿尾矿坝变形监测实际数据进行预测．结果表明，模型精度满足要求，灰色GM（1．1）模型用于尾矿坝变形趋势预测具有很好的适用性．
尾礦壩變形趨勢預測是礦山尾礦庫安全技術管理的重要內容．為瞭實現對尾礦壩變形趨勢的預測，在深入分析尾礦壩變形機理併充分認識尾礦庫工程繫統及壩體變形數據特性的基礎上，採用灰色GM（1．1）模型對尾礦壩的變形進行預測，併結閤某金礦尾礦壩變形鑑測實際數據進行預測．結果錶明，模型精度滿足要求，灰色GM（1．1）模型用于尾礦壩變形趨勢預測具有很好的適用性．
미광패변형추세예측시광산미광고안전기술관리적중요내용．위료실현대미광패변형추세적예측，재심입분석미광패변형궤리병충분인식미광고공정계통급패체변형수거특성적기출상，채용회색GM（1．1）모형대미광패적변형진행예측，병결합모금광미광패변형감측실제수거진행예측．결과표명，모형정도만족요구，회색GM（1．1）모형용우미광패변형추세예측구유흔호적괄용성．
Prediction of the trend of tailing dam deformation is an important part of mine tailing pond safety technical management. In order to predict the tendency of tailing dam deformation, we use grey GM(1.1) model combining with the monitoring data of an iron mine's tailing dam deformation for the prediction, based on deeply analysis of the railings dam deformation mecha- nism and fully understanding of the tailing pond engineering system and the characteristic of the dam deformation data. The grey GM(1.1) model has high accuracy and could satisfy the require- ment of the prediction, which demonstrates it would have a good applicability in prediction of the trend of tailing dam deformation.
