四川文理学院学报
四川文理學院學報
사천문이학원학보
SICHUAN UNIVERSITY OF ARTS AND SCIENCE JOURNAL
2012年
6期
114-119
,共6页
房地产投资%VAR模型%脉)中响应%方差分解
房地產投資%VAR模型%脈)中響應%方差分解
방지산투자%VAR모형%맥)중향응%방차분해
Real Estate Investment%VAR Model%Impulse Response%Variance Dcomposition
房地产行业对国民经济的发展具有显著拉动作用,尤其是对生产领域的拉动作用明显。在我国房地产领域大规模、高速度发展的背景下,对生产领域各行业及其关联性的分析研究显得尤为重要。建立向量自回归(VARY)模型并使用脉冲响应函数和方差分解进行分析,试图研究房地产投资情况与采矿业、建筑业、制造业、煤炭开采及洗选业投资情况的变动关系,为我国生产领域的发展现状给予合理的解释。
房地產行業對國民經濟的髮展具有顯著拉動作用,尤其是對生產領域的拉動作用明顯。在我國房地產領域大規模、高速度髮展的揹景下,對生產領域各行業及其關聯性的分析研究顯得尤為重要。建立嚮量自迴歸(VARY)模型併使用脈遲響應函數和方差分解進行分析,試圖研究房地產投資情況與採礦業、建築業、製造業、煤炭開採及洗選業投資情況的變動關繫,為我國生產領域的髮展現狀給予閤理的解釋。
방지산행업대국민경제적발전구유현저랍동작용,우기시대생산영역적랍동작용명현。재아국방지산영역대규모、고속도발전적배경하,대생산영역각행업급기관련성적분석연구현득우위중요。건립향량자회귀(VARY)모형병사용맥충향응함수화방차분해진행분석,시도연구방지산투자정황여채광업、건축업、제조업、매탄개채급세선업투자정황적변동관계,위아국생산영역적발전현상급여합리적해석。
The real estate industry has significant pull function on the development of national economy. Especially for the industries of the production field. Under the background of the large -scale, high speed development of China's real estate field, the analysis of the production field and its relevance to China's real estate field is particularly important. This paper establishes vector auto -regressive (VAR) model and use impulse response function and variance decomposition for analysis, try to research when our country's real estate industry is in the sustained and rapid development period, investment situation changes relation among the real estate investment and mining, construction, manufacturing, coal mining and washing industry. In order to give the reasonable explanation of our current situation of the development for the production field.