中国土地科学
中國土地科學
중국토지과학
HINA LAND SCIENCE
2012年
9期
4-11
,共8页
地价%宏观因素%土地供应%宏观调控
地價%宏觀因素%土地供應%宏觀調控
지개%굉관인소%토지공응%굉관조공
land price%macroeconomic indicators%land supply%macro-control
研究目的：研究地价走势与各宏观经济指标及市场因素变动间的相关性，从而辅助科学制定宏观调控政策。研究方法：统计分析法、定性分析法。研究结果：地价变动与多数宏观经济指标呈显著相关，与土地供应量相关性较弱，甚至出现逆规律性。研究结论：中国地价变化与各宏观指标的相关性符合市场经济的一般性规律，体现了中国土地资源市场化配置改革的初步成效；在特定阶段，资本变动主导居住用地市场，土地供应调控作用的发挥需全方位考量、多因素配合；地价增长与人均收入变化协调性降低以及工业用地市场初显资本炒作等迹象值得关注。
研究目的：研究地價走勢與各宏觀經濟指標及市場因素變動間的相關性，從而輔助科學製定宏觀調控政策。研究方法：統計分析法、定性分析法。研究結果：地價變動與多數宏觀經濟指標呈顯著相關，與土地供應量相關性較弱，甚至齣現逆規律性。研究結論：中國地價變化與各宏觀指標的相關性符閤市場經濟的一般性規律，體現瞭中國土地資源市場化配置改革的初步成效；在特定階段，資本變動主導居住用地市場，土地供應調控作用的髮揮需全方位攷量、多因素配閤；地價增長與人均收入變化協調性降低以及工業用地市場初顯資本炒作等跡象值得關註。
연구목적：연구지개주세여각굉관경제지표급시장인소변동간적상관성，종이보조과학제정굉관조공정책。연구방법：통계분석법、정성분석법。연구결과：지개변동여다수굉관경제지표정현저상관，여토지공응량상관성교약，심지출현역규률성。연구결론：중국지개변화여각굉관지표적상관성부합시장경제적일반성규률，체현료중국토지자원시장화배치개혁적초보성효；재특정계단，자본변동주도거주용지시장，토지공응조공작용적발휘수전방위고량、다인소배합；지개증장여인균수입변화협조성강저이급공업용지시장초현자본초작등적상치득관주。
The purpose of this paper is to study the correlation between land price and the macroeconomic indicators, as well as other market factors, so as to provide scientific reference for macro-control policy design. Methods of qualitative and statistical analysis were employed. The results indicate the relations between land price and most the macroeconomic indicators were significantly correlated; however, the correlation is weak regarding the amount of land supply. The paper concludes that 1 ) the relation between land price and macroeconomic indicators meets the basic rules of market economy, reflecting the preliminary performance of land market reform in China; 2) current stage is the capital-leading stage of the residential land market, therefore we need to take comprehensive measurement into account in order to enhance the role of land supply policies; 3 ) we should pay more attention to some phenomena, such as the reduction of the coordination between land price and income growth per capita, the emergence of capital speculation in the industrial land market.
