西北人口
西北人口
서북인구
NORTHWEST POPULATION JOURNAL
2014年
2期
110-114
,共5页
新农保%两期代际扩展模型%储蓄%储蓄挤出%影响因素
新農保%兩期代際擴展模型%儲蓄%儲蓄擠齣%影響因素
신농보%량기대제확전모형%저축%저축제출%영향인소
The new rural endowment insurance system%Two generation expansion mode%Savings%Savings crowding-out%In-fluencing factors
新型农村养老保险制度的实施和持续发展,不仅具有维护农村居民社会养老保险权益公平性的社会作用,还能起到刺激农村消费需求增加从而促进农村经济发展的经济作用。通过两期代际扩展模型的应用,证明了新农保的实施对个体农户终身效用最大化下的最优储蓄存在挤出效应,其主要影响因素有:缴费年限、缴费比率、养老保险账户收益率和收入替代率等,并以此为基础,提出了完善新农保制度、促进其可持续发展的政策建议。
新型農村養老保險製度的實施和持續髮展,不僅具有維護農村居民社會養老保險權益公平性的社會作用,還能起到刺激農村消費需求增加從而促進農村經濟髮展的經濟作用。通過兩期代際擴展模型的應用,證明瞭新農保的實施對箇體農戶終身效用最大化下的最優儲蓄存在擠齣效應,其主要影響因素有:繳費年限、繳費比率、養老保險賬戶收益率和收入替代率等,併以此為基礎,提齣瞭完善新農保製度、促進其可持續髮展的政策建議。
신형농촌양로보험제도적실시화지속발전,불부구유유호농촌거민사회양로보험권익공평성적사회작용,환능기도자격농촌소비수구증가종이촉진농촌경제발전적경제작용。통과량기대제확전모형적응용,증명료신농보적실시대개체농호종신효용최대화하적최우저축존재제출효응,기주요영향인소유:격비년한、격비비솔、양로보험장호수익솔화수입체대솔등,병이차위기출,제출료완선신농보제도、촉진기가지속발전적정책건의。
The implementation and sustainable development of the New Type of Rural Social Endowment Insurance not only play a social function of maintaining the fairness of social endowment insurance interests for rural residents ,but also have eco-nomic effects on stimulating the rural consumer demands so as to promote rural economic development. Through the applica-tion of extension of the Intergenerational model for two periods ,proves that the implementation of the New Type of Rural Social Endowment Insurance has crowding-out effects on optimal savings, and the main factors include payment period ,payment rate,and yield of endowment insurance account,as well as income replacement rate. Based on this,policy recommendations are proposed to improve the new rural insurance system and promote its sustainable development.