铜陵学院学报
銅陵學院學報
동릉학원학보
JOURNAL OF TONGLING COLLEGE
2014年
2期
68-73
,共6页
经济增长%能源消耗%脱钩模型%LMDI
經濟增長%能源消耗%脫鉤模型%LMDI
경제증장%능원소모%탈구모형%LMDI
economic growth%energy consumption%decoupling model%LMDI
皖江城市带在承接产业转移的过程中,经济发展赢得了新机遇,然而能源需求压力却也随之增大,为了打破经济发展与能源消耗的关联,发展低碳经济,实现区域经济的可持续发展。采用脱钩弹性指数方法建立脱钩评价模型分析皖江城市带1998-2012年经济增长与能源消耗的脱钩状况,结果表明皖江区域目前处于弱脱钩的水平;并基于对数平均迪氏指数法(LMDI)对能源消耗的影响因素进行分解,结果表明产出效应和结构效应对能源消耗的驱动作用较大,而低能源强度起着负的驱动作用。
皖江城市帶在承接產業轉移的過程中,經濟髮展贏得瞭新機遇,然而能源需求壓力卻也隨之增大,為瞭打破經濟髮展與能源消耗的關聯,髮展低碳經濟,實現區域經濟的可持續髮展。採用脫鉤彈性指數方法建立脫鉤評價模型分析皖江城市帶1998-2012年經濟增長與能源消耗的脫鉤狀況,結果錶明皖江區域目前處于弱脫鉤的水平;併基于對數平均迪氏指數法(LMDI)對能源消耗的影響因素進行分解,結果錶明產齣效應和結構效應對能源消耗的驅動作用較大,而低能源彊度起著負的驅動作用。
환강성시대재승접산업전이적과정중,경제발전영득료신궤우,연이능원수구압력각야수지증대,위료타파경제발전여능원소모적관련,발전저탄경제,실현구역경제적가지속발전。채용탈구탄성지수방법건립탈구평개모형분석환강성시대1998-2012년경제증장여능원소모적탈구상황,결과표명환강구역목전처우약탈구적수평;병기우대수평균적씨지수법(LMDI)대능원소모적영향인소진행분해,결과표명산출효응화결구효응대능원소모적구동작용교대,이저능원강도기착부적구동작용。
WanJiang City Belt wins an new opportunity of economic development, when undertaking the industrial transfer, however the pressure of energy consumption increases. To break the relationship between economic development and energy consumption, develop low carbon economy and achieve sustainable economic development, this paper builds decoupling evaluation model and evaluates the de-coupling situation of economic development and energy consumption between 1998 and 2012 of WanJiang City Belt, which shows that WanJiang City Belt is in currently weak decoupling level; and it decomposes the factors affecting energy consumption based on the loga-rithmic mean Divisia index method (LMDI) , which shows that the output effect and structure effect have greater driving effect on energy consumption, only energy intensity have an negative driving effect.