中国房地产(学术版)
中國房地產(學術版)
중국방지산(학술판)
China Real Estate
2014年
5期
33-40
,共8页
房价%房地产税收政策%评价系统%DFSR模型
房價%房地產稅收政策%評價繫統%DFSR模型
방개%방지산세수정책%평개계통%DFSR모형
Housing price%Real estate taxes policy%Evaluation system%Driving Force-State-Response model
以上海市为研究区域,构建包含驱动力、状态、响应指标的DFSR模型来分析房地产税收政策对房价响应的评价体系,其中利用主成份分析法确定驱动力指标综合得分,再根据量化的各项指标,明确房地产税收政策在房价影响中的地位。研究结果表明,房地产税收政策的调整呈明显的周期性变化,在政策调控力度强的情况下,政策对房价的影响是非常明显的。同时房地产税收政策调控具有时滞性,政策的调控力度与房价的变化并不完全同步。最后提出相应的改革措施,为优化房地产税收政策提供建议与参考。
以上海市為研究區域,構建包含驅動力、狀態、響應指標的DFSR模型來分析房地產稅收政策對房價響應的評價體繫,其中利用主成份分析法確定驅動力指標綜閤得分,再根據量化的各項指標,明確房地產稅收政策在房價影響中的地位。研究結果錶明,房地產稅收政策的調整呈明顯的週期性變化,在政策調控力度彊的情況下,政策對房價的影響是非常明顯的。同時房地產稅收政策調控具有時滯性,政策的調控力度與房價的變化併不完全同步。最後提齣相應的改革措施,為優化房地產稅收政策提供建議與參攷。
이상해시위연구구역,구건포함구동력、상태、향응지표적DFSR모형래분석방지산세수정책대방개향응적평개체계,기중이용주성빈분석법학정구동력지표종합득분,재근거양화적각항지표,명학방지산세수정책재방개영향중적지위。연구결과표명,방지산세수정책적조정정명현적주기성변화,재정책조공력도강적정황하,정책대방개적영향시비상명현적。동시방지산세수정책조공구유시체성,정책적조공력도여방개적변화병불완전동보。최후제출상응적개혁조시,위우화방지산세수정책제공건의여삼고。
The paper is focused on Shanghai, and the Driving Force-State-Response (DFSR) model is used to build up an evaluation system of the real estate taxes policy.Then we used principal component analysis method to get the score of driving force indicator.Based on the quantitative indicators,we clearly know that real estate taxes policy has an effect on housing price.At last,we find that the adjustment of real estate taxes policy is really cyclical.The strength of adjustment policy plays an important role in controlling housing price. In addition, the adjustment policy has some hysteretic effects.The strength of adjustment policy and housing price changing don’t match perfectly.Finally it puts forward some corresponding suggestions to improve real estate taxes policy.