CAJ | 학술논문

为研究不确定性在装备维修保障信息分析中的传播，首先介绍了装备维修保障信息分析的过程，归纳了概率值与区间值两种不确定性表现形式，研究了基于熵的不确定性度量方法；然后研究了装备维修保障信息分析中的区间值不确定性的传播机理，以及应用盲数理论分析区间值不确定性传播的原理；最后结合平均维修时间的案例验证了盲数理论的应用，并得到带有不确定性的结果。说明了盲数理论有助于分析维修保障中的不确定性问题，提高决策科学性。
위연구불학정성재장비유수보장신식분석중적전파，수선개소료장비유수보장신식분석적과정，귀납료개솔치여구간치량충불학정성표현형식，연구료기우적적불학정성도량방법；연후연구료장비유수보장신식분석중적구간치불학정성적전파궤리，이급응용맹수이론분석구간치불학정성전파적원리；최후결합평균유수시간적안례험증료맹수이론적응용，병득도대유불학정성적결과。설명료맹수이론유조우분석유수보장중적불학정성문제，제고결책과학성。
In order to study uncertainty spreading in equipment maintenance support information analysis. This paper illustrates the process of equipment maintenance support information analysis and summarizes two kinds of uncertainty forms,probable values and interval values. To measure uncertainty is based on the entropy theory in this paper. Then it explains the interval value uncertainty spreading mechanism in equipment maintenance support information analysis. The method of analysis the interval values uncertainty spreading based on blind number theory is studied. At last,combining with the uncertainty result of case proves that blind number theory are usefully to analysis uncertainty problem of equipment maintenance support and improve decision rationality.