火力与指挥控制
火力與指揮控製
화력여지휘공제
FIRE CONTROL & COMMAND CONTROL
2014年
5期
79-82
,共4页
任东彦%孙明太%赵志允
任東彥%孫明太%趙誌允
임동언%손명태%조지윤
作战效果评估%现代时间序列分析%Kalman滤波
作戰效果評估%現代時間序列分析%Kalman濾波
작전효과평고%현대시간서렬분석%Kalman려파
operational effect evaluation%modern time series analysis%Kalman filter
针对常规Kalman滤波在猎扫雷作战效果评估中退化为次优,特别是对混布雷阵效果评估精度低的问题,研究了将现代时间序列分析方法应用于猎扫雷作战效果评估。通过对4种典型雷阵的仿真和分析,对比了2种方法的优缺点。结果表明:现代时间序列分析方法比常规Kalman滤波评估更有效,尤其对混布雷阵也有很好的评估效果,且计算过程简便,提高了估计精度。
針對常規Kalman濾波在獵掃雷作戰效果評估中退化為次優,特彆是對混佈雷陣效果評估精度低的問題,研究瞭將現代時間序列分析方法應用于獵掃雷作戰效果評估。通過對4種典型雷陣的倣真和分析,對比瞭2種方法的優缺點。結果錶明:現代時間序列分析方法比常規Kalman濾波評估更有效,尤其對混佈雷陣也有很好的評估效果,且計算過程簡便,提高瞭估計精度。
침대상규Kalman려파재작소뢰작전효과평고중퇴화위차우,특별시대혼포뢰진효과평고정도저적문제,연구료장현대시간서렬분석방법응용우작소뢰작전효과평고。통과대4충전형뢰진적방진화분석,대비료2충방법적우결점。결과표명:현대시간서렬분석방법비상규Kalman려파평고경유효,우기대혼포뢰진야유흔호적평고효과,차계산과정간편,제고료고계정도。
To solve the problem of deterioration from optimality to suboptimal in operational effect evaluation of mine-hunting and mine-sweeping by Kalman filter,especially the problem of low precision in operational effect evaluation of the interweaving mine obstacle,modern time series analysis is used for operational effect evaluation. The merit and shortcoming of two kinds of methods are contrasted by the simulation and analysis of four typical mine obstacle.The research testifies that modern time series analysis is much more effective than Kalman filter and especially has good operational effect for interweaving mine obstacle.The process of calculation is brief.The method can improve the precision of operational effect evaluation.